Public ledger

Bawler's public, verified prediction track record

Every prediction is logged before kickoff with a tamper-evident hash, settled automatically from live results, and stays visible forever. No deletions. No edits. Across 1081 settled predictions, the free high-confidence call has hit 73.3% (792/1081).

Coverage 2026-03-18 → 2026-08-12 · 55 competitions

High-confidence accuracy
73.3%
792/1081 settled
Medium-confidence accuracy
50.1%
493/985 settled
Outside-shot accuracy
26.6%
232/872 settled
Total predictions settled
1081
55 competitions

How this record is kept honest

  • Predictions are locked when official lineups drop (~75 min before kickoff) and written to an append-only log with a content hash — they cannot be changed after the fact.
  • Results are settled automatically from live match data. We do not hand-grade, delete losers, or backdate winners.
  • Every settled prediction stays on the record, whether it landed or not.
  • Accuracy figures above are computed live from the 1081 settled predictions below — recompute them yourself from the same data.

We turned this ledger into a study: The 2026 Football Prediction Accuracy Report — how often predictions land at the confidence Bawler assigns them, with per-competition cuts.

The same keep-it-honest discipline runs our fantasy football projections — see the FPL predicted points backtest.

Recent settled predictions

DateMatchHigh-confidence callResult
12 Aug 26F.C. København v DebrecenF.C. København or DrawWON
12 Aug 26GKS Katowice v Hapoel Tel AvivGKS Katowice or DrawWON
12 Aug 26Rapid Vienna v Paide LinnameeskondRapid Vienna or DrawWON
11 Aug 26Lyon v Sparta PragueLyon to winWON
11 Aug 26SK Sturm Graz v FenerbahceUnder 2.5 goalsWON
11 Aug 26NK Celje v Ararat-ArmeniaNK Celje or DrawWON
11 Aug 26Slovan Bratislava v Mjällby AIFSlovan Bratislava or DrawWON
11 Aug 26Red Star Belgrade v Hapoel Be'erRed Star Belgrade or DrawLOST
11 Aug 26CSKA 1948 Sofia v PanathinaikosCSKA 1948 Sofia or DrawLOST
11 Aug 26Kauno Zalgiris v Dinamo ZagrebKauno Zalgiris or DrawLOST
11 Aug 26Sabah FK v AGFSabah FK or DrawWON
11 Aug 26Iberia 1999 v LarneIberia 1999 or DrawWON
11 Aug 26Kairat Almaty v Levski SofiaKairat Almaty or DrawLOST
10 Aug 26Santa Clara v C.D. NacionalOver 1.5 goalsWON
10 Aug 26Plymouth Argyle v Exeter CityPlymouth Argyle or DrawWON
09 Aug 26Benfica v Académico de ViseuBenfica or drawWON
09 Aug 26Gil Vicente v Rio AveGil Vicente to winWON
09 Aug 26Moreirense v BragaOver 1.5 goalsWON
09 Aug 26Antwerp v Waasland-BeverenAntwerp or DrawWON
09 Aug 26FC Porto v AlvercaFC Porto to winWON
09 Aug 26Anderlecht v RAAL La LouvièreOver 1.5 goalsWON
09 Aug 26Rangers v HibernianOver 1.5 goalsWON
09 Aug 26Mansfield Town v Sheffield UnitedMansfield Town or DrawLOST
09 Aug 26Heerenveen v FC TwenteOver 1.5 goalsLOST
09 Aug 26Heart of Midlothian v Dundee UnitedHeart of Midlothian or drawWON
09 Aug 26Motherwell v FalkirkMotherwell or drawWON
09 Aug 26Royal Charleroi SC v OH LeuvenRoyal Charleroi SC or DrawWON
09 Aug 26Zulte-Waregem v Racing GenkOver 1.5 goalsWON
09 Aug 26Kilmarnock v CelticOver 1.5 goalsWON
09 Aug 26FC Groningen v FC UtrechtOver 1.5 goalsWON
09 Aug 26PEC Zwolle v Ajax AmsterdamOver 1.5 goalsWON
09 Aug 26KAA Gent v KV MechelenOver 1.5 goalsWON
09 Aug 26Sparta Rotterdam v Feyenoord RotterdamOver 1.5 goalsLOST
08 Aug 26New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo FCOver 1.5 goalsWON
08 Aug 26Estrela v Sporting CPOver 1.5 goalsWON
08 Aug 26AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den HaagOver 1.5 goalsWON
08 Aug 26KVC Westerlo v Union St.-GilloiseOver 1.5 goalsWON
08 Aug 26Sint-Truidense v Lommel SKSint-Truidense or DrawWON
08 Aug 26PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna SittardOver 1.5 goalsWON
08 Aug 26Vitória de Guimaraes v AroucaVitória de Guimaraes or drawLOST
08 Aug 26Go Ahead Eagles v Willem IIOver 1.5 goalsWON
08 Aug 26Cheltenham Town v Charlton AthleticCheltenham Town or DrawLOST
08 Aug 26Colchester United v SouthamptonColchester United or DrawLOST
08 Aug 26Rotherham United v West Bromwich AlbionRotherham United or DrawLOST
08 Aug 26Standard Liege v Cercle Brugge KSVOver 1.5 goalsWON
08 Aug 26Maritimo v Casa PiaMaritimo or drawWON
08 Aug 26NEC Nijmegen v TelstarOver 1.5 goalsWON
08 Aug 26West Ham United v PortsmouthOver 1.5 goalsWON
08 Aug 26Swansea City v Birmingham CityOver 1.5 goalsLOST
08 Aug 26Derby County v Lincoln CityOver 1.5 goalsWON
08 Aug 26Dundee v AberdeenOver 1.5 goalsLOST
08 Aug 26St Mirren v St JohnstoneOver 1.5 goalsLOST
08 Aug 26AFC Wimbledon v Newport CountyAFC Wimbledon or DrawWON
08 Aug 26Barnsley v Wigan AthleticBarnsley or DrawWON
08 Aug 26Bradford City v RochdaleBradford City or DrawWON
08 Aug 26Bristol Rovers v Peterborough UnitedBristol Rovers or DrawLOST
08 Aug 26Bromley v ReadingBromley or DrawLOST
08 Aug 26Burnley v Notts CountyBurnley or DrawWON
08 Aug 26Burton Albion v Blackburn RoversBurton Albion or DrawLOST
08 Aug 26Cardiff City v Swindon TownCardiff City or DrawWON

This record is built one day at a time — today's predictions are already on it, logged and waiting to settle.

See today's free predictions →See what Pro includes

Explore & filter every prediction

Live, filterable view of the full history by league and confidence band. For accuracy broken down by competition, band and market, open the prediction explorer.

Track Record

0 settled predictions · 0 pending

Auto-tracked

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High-Confidence Accuracy

0%

0 of 0 calls correct

Independently Verifiable

✓

Picks hash-anchored before kickoff (backfilled entries flagged)

Longest Odds Called

—

Least likely combination the model called correctly

Predictions Tracked

0

Predictions logged before kickoff (except flagged backfilled entries)

This Week vs Target

Last 7 days · 0 fixtures settled

vs long-run tier targets
Banker·
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0 settled · need 3+
Not enough data
Value·
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0 settled · need 3+
Not enough data
Bawl Out·
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0 settled · need 3+
Not enough data
Dark Horse·
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0 settled · need 3+
Not enough data

Pick Tiers

HIGH CONFIDENCE
0%
0W / 0L
Breakeven: 74%Below breakeven
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
0%
0W / 0L
Breakeven: 45%Below breakeven
COMBINATION
0%
0W / 0L
Breakeven: 34%Below breakeven
OUTSIDE SHOT
0%
0W / 0L
Breakeven: 25%Below breakeven

No settled predictions yet.

Predictions are logged automatically and settled after matches finish.

Model Validation Progress0/500

Full per-league calibration unlocks at 500 settled predictions