Over 2.5 Goals 13 November 2026

Over 2.5 Goals predictions today

Strongest Over 2.5 Goals call today
68%
Under 2.5 Goals
2.00 expected goals
18
today
18
coming up
2
competitions
UEFA Nations League · 19:45
LuxembourgvEstonia

Every Over 2.5 Goals call below is the model's own output, ranked highest probability first — 36 fixtures across 2 competitions, with no curation step in between.

Each call is published and locked at about 17:00 UK, usually around two days before kickoff. Model last rerun .

Today's Over 2.5 Goals predictions

18 fixtures

Ranked by model probability — higher means more confident.

LuxembourgvEstonia
Under 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.00 expected goals
68%
AndorravGibraltar
Under 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.19 expected goals
63%
Saudi ArabiavSouth Korea
Under 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 14:30 · 2.21 expected goals
62%
SerbiavGermany
Over 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 3.19 expected goals
62%
United Arab EmiratesvHonduras
Under 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 14:15 · 2.27 expected goals
61%
QatarvAustralia
Under 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 14:45 · 2.31 expected goals
59%
IraqvLebanon
Under 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 15:00 · 2.36 expected goals
58%
KuwaitvSyria
Over 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 14:00 · 2.95 expected goals
57%
BulgariavIceland
Over 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.94 expected goals
56%
ArgentinavUruguay
Over 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 23:00 · 2.92 expected goals
56%
LiechtensteinvAzerbaijan
Under 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.49 expected goals
55%
SlovakiavFaroe Islands
Under 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.51 expected goals
54%
MoldovavKazakhstan
Over 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 17:00 · 2.81 expected goals
53%
JordanvIndonesia
Over 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 20:00 · 2.78 expected goals
53%
SloveniavSwitzerland
Under 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.61 expected goals
52%
SingaporevParaguay
Over 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 12:00 · 2.71 expected goals
51%
ScotlandvNorth Macedonia
Over 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.69 expected goals
50%
NetherlandsvGreece
Under 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.67 expected goals
50%

Upcoming Over 2.5 Goals predictions

to Sunday 15 Nov

Already published and locked. Later fixtures join the list as their calls go up, about two days before kickoff.

Tomorrow

17
BahrainvYemen
Over 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 06:00 · 3.36 expected goals
65%
TahitivCook Islands
Over 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 05:30 · 3.21 expected goals
62%
Chinese TaipeivKyrgyz Republic
Over 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 12:00 · 3.20 expected goals
62%
Northern IrelandvUkraine
Under 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.22 expected goals
62%
GeorgiavHungary
Under 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 17:00 · 2.25 expected goals
61%
NorwayvWales
Over 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 17:00 · 3.07 expected goals
59%
PortugalvDenmark
Over 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 3.01 expected goals
58%
RomaniavPoland
Over 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.95 expected goals
56%
PalestinevIran
Under 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 15:00 · 2.46 expected goals
55%
PeruvBolivia
Under 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 01:00 · 2.53 expected goals
54%
EcuadorvCosta Rica
Under 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 00:00 · 2.56 expected goals
53%
ChinavMalaysia
Under 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 12:00 · 2.56 expected goals
53%
KosovovIsrael
Under 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 14:00 · 2.56 expected goals
53%
SwedenvBosnia-Herzegovina
Over 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.76 expected goals
52%
AustriavRepublic of Ireland
Over 2.5 Goals
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.73 expected goals
51%
ColombiavChile
Over 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 00:00 · 2.72 expected goals
51%
JapanvBrazil
Over 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 10:15 · 2.68 expected goals
50%

Sunday 15 Nov

1
New ZealandvIndia
Over 2.5 Goals
International Friendly · 03:00 · 3.31 expected goals
64%

How the model calls Over 2.5 Goals

"Over 2.5 Goals" asks whether the combined home + away goals at full-time will be more than 2.5. Bawler estimates the expected goals for each side from recent scoring form, then converts that into a probability the total will be 2.5 or more.

The model works out how many goals each side is likely to score from their recent scoring and defending, factors in opponent strength and home advantage, then checks its numbers against real results every week and adjusts them.

Full methodologyBawler's pick record

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