New Zealand v India prediction
Our model gives New Zealand an 81% chance of winning this International friendlies game. A India win is 5% and a draw 14%. Our predicted score is New Zealand 2–0 India, at 15%. Our expected goals are 2.6 for New Zealand and 0.5 for India, 3.1 in all. There is a 39% chance both sides score and three or more goals is 61%.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.
What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
More chances
New Zealand · last 6
India · last 6
First half — what we expect
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
New Zealand to win is 81% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who will win New Zealand vs India?
Bawler's model rates this match: New Zealand are favoured (81% win probability vs 5% for India, 14% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs India?
Bawler's predicted score is New Zealand 2-0 India: the most likely score if New Zealand win, which is the likeliest result (81%). Our model puts that exact score at 14.5%. Expected total goals: 3.1.
How does Bawler predict New Zealand vs India?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives New Zealand 81%, the draw 14% and India 5%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in New Zealand vs India?
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 39% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on New Zealand expecting 2.60 goals and India 0.54.
Over or under 2.5 goals in New Zealand vs India?
Bawler's model expects 3.1 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 61%.
When are the New Zealand v India line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.