This week · Tue 3 – Sat 7 Nov

Championship predictions

Our model's forecast for this week's Championship matches: the chance of each result, our predicted score and Bawler's pick. Every match links to its full preview, and every pick is settled on our track record after full time.

Fixtures, Tue 3 – Sat 7 Nov

Watford v Lincoln City

Tue 3 Nov · 19:45
Watford
Watford
38%
Draw
27%
Lincoln City
Lincoln City
35%
Predicted score: Watford 1–0 Lincoln City
Bawler's pick59% · fair price 8/11 (1.70)
  • Over 25.5 Total Shots79%
  • Over 7.5 Total Corners77%
  • Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target81%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Queens Park Rangers v Burnley

Tue 3 Nov · 19:45
Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers
42%
Draw
26%
Burnley
Burnley
32%
Predicted score: Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Burnley
Bawler's pick45% · fair price 5/4 (2.23)
  • Both Teams to Score58%
  • Over 23.5 Total Shots77%
  • Rayan Kolli 1+ Shot90%
  • Largie Ramazani 1+ Shot88%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Preston North End v Sheffield United

Tue 3 Nov · 19:45
Preston North End
Preston North End
31%
Draw
26%
Sheffield United
Sheffield United
43%
Predicted score: Preston North End 1–2 Sheffield United
Bawler's pick49% · fair price 11/10 (2.05)
  • Both Teams to Score60%
  • Over 22.5 Total Shots79%
  • Johnny Kenny 1+ Shot93%
  • Patrick Bamford 1+ Shot89%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Portsmouth v Swansea City

Tue 3 Nov · 19:45
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
39%
Draw
29%
Swansea City
Swansea City
33%
Predicted score: Portsmouth 1–0 Swansea City
Bawler's pick60% · fair price 4/6 (1.67)
  • Over 22.5 Total Shots77%
  • Over 7.5 Total Corners78%
  • Over 5.5 Total Shots on Target84%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Derby County v Norwich City

Tue 3 Nov · 19:45
Derby County
Derby County
37%
Draw
26%
Norwich City
Norwich City
37%
Predicted score: Derby County 1–2 Norwich City
Bawler's pick43% · fair price 11/8 (2.35)
  • Both Teams to Score59%
  • Over 20.5 Total Shots80%
  • Carlton Morris 1+ Shot83%
  • Mathias Kvistgaarden 1+ Shot86%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Charlton Athletic v Bolton Wanderers

Tue 3 Nov · 19:45
Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic
41%
Draw
26%
Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
33%
Predicted score: Charlton Athletic 2–1 Bolton Wanderers
Bawler's pick40% · fair price 6/4 (2.48)
  • Both Teams to Score58%
  • Over 22.5 Total Shots77%
  • Karlan Grant 1+ Shot87%
  • Rúben Rodrigues 1+ Shot83%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Blackburn Rovers v Stoke City

Tue 3 Nov · 19:45
Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers
43%
Draw
28%
Stoke City
Stoke City
29%
Predicted score: Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Stoke City
Bawler's pick42% · fair price 11/8 (2.39)
  • Blackburn Rovers or Draw71%
  • Blackburn Rovers Over 10.5 Shots79%
  • Oladapo Afolayan 2+ Shots68%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

West Bromwich Albion v Southampton

Tue 3 Nov · 20:00
West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion
35%
Draw
27%
Southampton
Southampton
38%
Predicted score: West Bromwich Albion 1–2 Southampton
Bawler's pick43% · fair price 11/8 (2.34)
  • Both Teams to Score58%
  • Over 23.5 Total Shots79%
  • Isaac Price 1+ Shot90%
  • Léo Scienza 1+ Shot83%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Birmingham City v Millwall

Tue 3 Nov · 20:00
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
44%
Draw
26%
Millwall
Millwall
30%
Predicted score: Birmingham City 2–1 Millwall
Bawler's pick47% · fair price 11/10 (2.12)
  • Both Teams to Score58%
  • Over 23.5 Total Shots81%
  • August Priske 1+ Shot90%
  • Kyrell Lisbie 1+ Shot89%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Wrexham v Middlesbrough

Wed 4 Nov · 19:45
Wrexham
Wrexham
26%
Draw
26%
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
48%
Predicted score: Wrexham 0–1 Middlesbrough
Bawler's pick50% · fair price Evens (1.99)
  • Middlesbrough or Draw74%
  • Middlesbrough Over 12.5 Shots82%
  • Amario Cozier-Duberry 2+ Shots76%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Cardiff City v West Ham United

Wed 4 Nov · 19:45
Cardiff City
Cardiff City
24%
Draw
22%
West Ham United
West Ham United
54%
Predicted score: Cardiff City 1–2 West Ham United
Bawler's pick46% · fair price 6/5 (2.17)
  • West Ham United or Draw76%
  • West Ham United Over 9.5 Shots79%
  • Valentín Castellanos 2+ Shots71%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Bristol City v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Wed 4 Nov · 20:00
Bristol City
Bristol City
26%
Draw
26%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Wolverhampton Wanderers
48%
Predicted score: Bristol City 0–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bawler's pick50% · fair price Evens (2.01)
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw74%
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 10.5 Shots80%
  • Rafiki Saïd 2+ Shots77%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Derby County v Bolton Wanderers

Fri 6 Nov · 20:00
Derby County
Derby County
46%
Draw
25%
Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
29%
Predicted score: Derby County 2–1 Bolton Wanderers
Bawler's pick38% · fair price 13/8 (2.66)
  • Derby County or Draw71%
  • Derby County Over 9.5 Shots80%
  • Carlton Morris 2+ Shots61%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Bristol City v Norwich City

Sat 7 Nov · 12:30
Bristol City
Bristol City
41%
Draw
26%
Norwich City
Norwich City
33%
Predicted score: Bristol City 2–1 Norwich City
Bawler's pick43% · fair price 11/8 (2.32)
  • Both Teams to Score58%
  • Over 23.5 Total Shots78%
  • Dominic Ballard 1+ Shot86%
  • Mathias Kvistgaarden 1+ Shot88%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Portsmouth v Stoke City

Sat 7 Nov · 12:30
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
47%
Draw
28%
Stoke City
Stoke City
26%
Predicted score: Portsmouth 1–0 Stoke City
Bawler's pick53% · fair price 10/11 (1.89)
  • Portsmouth or Draw74%
  • Portsmouth Over 13.5 Shots81%
  • Ryan Kavuma-McQueen 2+ Shots81%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Wrexham v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Sat 7 Nov · 12:30
Wrexham
Wrexham
26%
Draw
27%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Wolverhampton Wanderers
47%
Predicted score: Wrexham 0–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bawler's pick47% · fair price 11/10 (2.12)
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw74%
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers Over 8.5 Shots81%
  • Rafiki Saïd 2+ Shots72%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Birmingham City v Swansea City

Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
47%
Draw
26%
Swansea City
Swansea City
26%
Predicted score: Birmingham City 1–0 Swansea City
Bawler's pick46% · fair price 6/5 (2.19)
  • Birmingham City or Draw74%
  • Birmingham City Over 11.5 Shots82%
  • August Priske 2+ Shots69%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Blackburn Rovers v West Ham United

Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers
19%
Draw
23%
West Ham United
West Ham United
58%
Predicted score: Blackburn Rovers 1–2 West Ham United
Bawler's pick48% · fair price 11/10 (2.09)
  • West Ham United or Draw81%
  • West Ham United Over 9.5 Shots82%
  • Valentín Castellanos 1+ Shot on Target63%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Cardiff City v Burnley

Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
Cardiff City
Cardiff City
42%
Draw
24%
Burnley
Burnley
34%
Predicted score: Cardiff City 2–1 Burnley
Bawler's pick53% · fair price 10/11 (1.87)
  • Both Teams to Score65%
  • Over 26.5 Total Shots77%
  • Jack Moylan 1+ Shot95%
  • Largie Ramazani 1+ Shot89%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Charlton Athletic v Sheffield United

Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic
30%
Draw
27%
Sheffield United
Sheffield United
43%
Predicted score: Charlton Athletic 0–1 Sheffield United
Bawler's pick40% · fair price 6/4 (2.53)
  • Sheffield United or Draw70%
  • Sheffield United Over 10.5 Shots78%
  • Patrick Bamford 1+ Shot on Target64%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Preston North End v Southampton

Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
Preston North End
Preston North End
24%
Draw
24%
Southampton
Southampton
53%
Predicted score: Preston North End 1–2 Southampton
Bawler's pick48% · fair price 11/10 (2.10)
  • Southampton or Draw76%
  • Southampton Over 14.5 Shots78%
  • Léo Scienza 2+ Shots73%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Queens Park Rangers v Lincoln City

Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers
49%
Draw
26%
Lincoln City
Lincoln City
26%
Predicted score: Queens Park Rangers 1–0 Lincoln City
Bawler's pick46% · fair price 6/5 (2.19)
  • Queens Park Rangers or Draw74%
  • Queens Park Rangers Over 13.5 Shots79%
  • Rayan Kolli 2+ Shots71%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Watford v Middlesbrough

Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
Watford
Watford
22%
Draw
25%
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
54%
Predicted score: Watford 0–1 Middlesbrough
Bawler's pick55% · fair price 5/6 (1.83)
  • Middlesbrough or Draw78%
  • Middlesbrough Over 14.5 Shots81%
  • Amario Cozier-Duberry 2+ Shots79%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

West Bromwich Albion v Millwall

Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion
41%
Draw
27%
Millwall
Millwall
33%
Predicted score: West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Millwall
Bawler's pick45% · fair price 5/4 (2.23)
  • Both Teams to Score57%
  • Over 21.5 Total Shots81%
  • Isaac Price 1+ Shot89%
  • Kyrell Lisbie 1+ Shot87%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →
18+Prices are our own fair prices, not a bookmaker's. Forecasts, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly.BeGambleAware.org

Bawler's pick record in the Championship

24
Picks
0
Won
0
Lost
24
Still to play

We show how often the picks land once 20 have been settled in this league. Every pick is logged before kickoff. See the full track record.

Championship predictions: your questions

Who does Bawler's model favour in the Championship this week?

West Ham United are the clearest favourites: our model gives them a 58% chance of beating Blackburn Rovers away on Sat 7 Nov. Next come West Ham United (54%) and Middlesbrough (54%).

Which Championship match is hardest to call this week?

Derby County v Norwich City. Our model gives Derby County 37%, the draw 26% and Norwich City 37%. Our predicted score is Derby County 1-2 Norwich City, the most likely score if Norwich City win.

Which of Bawler's Championship picks is most likely to land this week?

Portsmouth v Swansea City: Over 22.5 Total Shots, Over 7.5 Total Corners, Over 5.5 Total Shots on Target. Our model gives all 3 landing together a 60% chance, a fair price of 4/6 (1.67). 18+, please gamble responsibly.