BAWLER
This week · Fri 6 – Sun 8 Nov

Premier League predictions

Our model's forecast for this week's Premier League matches: the chance of each result, our predicted score and Bawler's pick. Every match links to its full preview, and every pick is settled on our track record after full time.

Fixtures, Fri 6 – Sun 8 Nov

Everton v Coventry City

Fri 6 Nov · 20:00
Everton
Everton
54%
Draw
25%
Coventry City
Coventry City
22%
Predicted score: Everton 1–0 Coventry City
Bawler's pick46% · fair price 6/5 (2.16)
  • Everton or Draw78%
  • Everton Over 11.5 Shots78%
  • Thierno Barry 2+ Shots69%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur

Sat 7 Nov · 12:30
Leeds United
Leeds United
45%
Draw
27%
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
28%
Predicted score: Leeds United 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur
Bawler's pick41% · fair price 6/4 (2.47)
  • Leeds United or Draw72%
  • Leeds United Over 10.5 Shots81%
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 1+ Shot on Target60%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Arsenal v Hull City

Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
Arsenal
Arsenal
83%
Draw
12%
Hull City
Hull City
4%
Predicted score: Arsenal 2–0 Hull City
Bawler's pick49% · fair price Evens (2.03)
  • Arsenal or Draw96%
  • Arsenal Over 17.5 Shots80%
  • Kai Havertz 1+ Shot on Target56%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Fulham v Newcastle United

Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
Fulham
Fulham
45%
Draw
26%
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
30%
Predicted score: Fulham 2–1 Newcastle United
Bawler's pick41% · fair price 6/4 (2.46)
  • Fulham or Draw70%
  • Fulham Over 11.5 Shots81%
  • Gonzalo García 2+ Shots65%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City

Sat 7 Nov · 17:30
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
30%
Draw
26%
Manchester City
Manchester City
44%
Predicted score: Nottingham Forest 1–2 Manchester City
Bawler's pick44% · fair price 5/4 (2.28)
  • Manchester City or Draw70%
  • Manchester City Over 11.5 Shots77%
  • Erling Haaland 2+ Shots74%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Brighton & Hove Albion v Brentford

Sun 8 Nov · 14:00
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
50%
Draw
24%
Brentford
Brentford
25%
Predicted score: Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Brentford
Bawler's pick43% · fair price 11/8 (2.35)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw75%
  • Brighton & Hove Albion Over 13.5 Shots77%
  • Georginio Rutter 2+ Shots68%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Crystal Palace v Liverpool

Sun 8 Nov · 14:00
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
32%
Draw
25%
Liverpool
Liverpool
43%
Predicted score: Crystal Palace 1–2 Liverpool
Bawler's pick65% · fair price 8/15 (1.53)
  • Over 22.5 Total Shots79%
  • Over 5.5 Total Corners85%
  • Over 5.5 Total Shots on Target82%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Ipswich Town v AFC Bournemouth

Sun 8 Nov · 14:00
Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town
23%
Draw
23%
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
54%
Predicted score: Ipswich Town 1–2 AFC Bournemouth
Bawler's pick40% · fair price 6/4 (2.53)
  • AFC Bournemouth or Draw77%
  • AFC Bournemouth Over 9.5 Shots81%
  • Evanilson 2+ Shots58%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Sunderland v Chelsea

Sun 8 Nov · 14:00
Sunderland
Sunderland
32%
Draw
26%
Chelsea
Chelsea
42%
Predicted score: Sunderland 1–2 Chelsea
Bawler's pick57% · fair price 8/11 (1.75)
  • Over 19.5 Total Shots80%
  • Over 6.5 Total Corners77%
  • Over 5.5 Total Shots on Target79%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Manchester United v Aston Villa

Sun 8 Nov · 16:30
Manchester United
Manchester United
47%
Draw
25%
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
28%
Predicted score: Manchester United 2–1 Aston Villa
Bawler's pick42% · fair price 11/8 (2.40)
  • Manchester United or Draw72%
  • Manchester United Over 14.5 Shots78%
  • Bryan Mbeumo 2+ Shots68%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →
18+Prices are our own fair prices, not a bookmaker's. Forecasts, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly.BeGambleAware.org

Bawler's pick record in the Premier League

11
Picks
0
Won
0
Lost
11
Still to play

We show how often the picks land once 20 have been settled in this league. Every pick is logged before kickoff. See the full track record.

Premier League predictions: your questions

Who does Bawler's model favour in the Premier League this week?

Arsenal are the clearest favourites: our model gives them a 83% chance of beating Hull City at home on Sat 7 Nov. Next come Everton (54%) and AFC Bournemouth (54%).

Which Premier League match is hardest to call this week?

Sunderland v Chelsea. Our model gives Sunderland 32%, the draw 26% and Chelsea 42%. Our predicted score is Sunderland 1-2 Chelsea, the most likely score if Chelsea win.

Which of Bawler's Premier League picks is most likely to land this week?

Crystal Palace v Liverpool: Over 22.5 Total Shots, Over 5.5 Total Corners, Over 5.5 Total Shots on Target. Our model gives all 3 landing together a 65% chance, a fair price of 8/15 (1.53). 18+, please gamble responsibly.