Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Barcelona
Team profile · Spain: La Liga

Barcelona Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
2.11
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.44
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
50%
3/6 calls

Barcelona prediction: Bawler's model rates Barcelona at 2.11 expected goals scored and 1.44 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 50% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Barcelona fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Barcelona carry a strong attacking profile, creating 2.11 expected goals per game against a La Liga average of 1.44. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.17 goals a game against 2.11 expected. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Barcelona have been correct 50% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 0D 3L
Real goals
1.2 – 1.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Barcelona compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
2.11
Above average
Goals against
1.44
Tighter than most
Scored2.11
Conceded1.44

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 2.11 xG per match · +0.67 above the Spain: La Liga average of 1.44.

📊 Barcelona in numbers

53 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.5
Goals · per game
let in 1.1
🏠 3.0✈️ 1.9
6.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.2
🏠 6.9✈️ 5.7
17.4
Shots · per game
faced 9.5
🏠 18.2✈️ 16.6
6.6
On target · per game
faced 3.8
🏠 7.4✈️ 5.8
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Aug
1-2
vs Macara
🚩 6-2
06 Aug
1-0
@ LDU Portoviejo
🚩 4-4
03 Aug
1-1
@ Leones del Norte
🚩 4-6
23 May
1-3
@ Valencia
🚩 8-7
17 May
3-1
vs Real Betis
🚩 6-4
13 May
0-1
@ Alaves
🚩 4-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Barcelona matches
50%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Barcelona fixture, it is right 3 out of 6 (50%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INAnthony GordonLWfrom Newcastle United€80m
INKarim AdeyemiAMfrom Borussia Dortmund€22m
INJesse Bisiwufrom Club NXT€8.5m
OUTRonald AraujoCBto LiverpoolLoan
OUTAnsu FatiAMto Monaco€11m
OUTRobert LewandowskiSTto Chicago Fire FCFree transfer
OUTIñaki PeñaGKto Panathinaikos€3m
OUTMarc-André ter StegenGKto AjaxLoan
OUTDiego KochenGKto LyngbyLoan
OUTAnder AstralagaGKto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTAlexis OlmedoCBto Celta FortunaUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Barcelona prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly