Bawler / England: Premier League / Manchester United

Team profile · England: Premier League

Manchester United Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

5 settled

Goals for

1.60

Expected, per match

Goals against

1.52

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

80%

4/5 calls

Manchester United prediction: Bawler's model rates Manchester United at 1.60 expected goals scored and 1.52 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 80% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Manchester United fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Manchester United sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.60 expected goals a game and conceding 1.52. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Manchester United have been correct 80% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record

3W 2D 0L

Real goals

1.8 – 0.8

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Manchester United compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for

1.60

Above average

Goals against

1.52

Leakier than most

Scored1.60

Conceded1.52

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.46 scored, 1.46 conceded).

📊 Manchester United in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.8

Goals · per game

let in 1.3

🏠 2.0✈️ 1.6

4.8

Corners · per game

give up 4.9

🏠 5.3✈️ 4.3

15.7

Shots · per game

faced 11.6

🏠 17.9✈️ 13.5

5.7

On target · per game

faced 3.7

🏠 6.8✈️ 4.5

🗓️ Last 6 games

24 May

3-0

@ Brighton

🚩 3-0

17 May

3-2

vs Nott'm Forest

🚩 7-6

09 May

0-0

@ Sunderland

🚩 7-6

03 May

3-2

vs Liverpool

🚩 3-2

27 Apr

2-1

vs Brentford

🚩 7-8

18 Apr

1-0

@ Chelsea

🚩 1-7

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Manchester United matches

80%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Manchester United fixture, it is right 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Manchester United by market

Goals (Over/Under)67%2/3

Result100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Manchester United fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Manchester United matches.