Correct Score 29 September 2026

Correct Score predictions today

Strongest Correct Score call on Wednesday 30 Sept
3–0
Most likely scoreline
17% of the time
0
today
22
next 14 days
2
competitions
International Friendly · 00:00
ArgentinavBolivia

Every Correct Score call below is the model's own output, ranked highest probability first — 22 fixtures across 2 competitions, with no curation step in between.

Each call is provisional until lineups are confirmed, then locked and time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before kickoff so it can't be edited afterwards — see the proof. Model last rerun .

Upcoming Correct Score predictions

next 14 days

Early reads. They move as team news lands, right up to lineup confirmation.

Tomorrow

12
SpainvCroatia
2-0
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 2.42 expected goals home · 0.51 away
16%
San MarinovAlbania
0-3
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 0.41 expected goals home · 3.13 away
15%
SloveniavNorth Macedonia
1-0
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 1.68 expected goals home · 0.77 away
14%
MoldovavFaroe Islands
0-2
UEFA Nations League · 17:00 · 0.65 expected goals home · 2.30 away
14%
LuxembourgvIceland
1-1
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 1.22 expected goals home · 1.47 away
12%
AustraliavBrazil
0-1
International Friendly · 11:00 · 0.99 expected goals home · 1.59 away
12%
SlovakiavKazakhstan
1-0
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 1.99 expected goals home · 0.85 away
12%
ScotlandvSwitzerland
1-1
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 1.04 expected goals home · 1.68 away
12%
RussiavIran
1-1
International Friendly · 17:00 · 1.66 expected goals home · 1.22 away
11%
CzechiavEngland
0-2
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 0.82 expected goals home · 2.57 away
11%
BulgariavEstonia
1-1
UEFA Nations League · 19:45 · 1.83 expected goals home · 1.58 away
10%
FinlandvBelarus
2-1
UEFA Nations League · 17:00 · 2.16 expected goals home · 1.26 away
10%

Wednesday 30 Sept

9
ArgentinavBolivia
3-0
International Friendly · 00:00 · 3.79 expected goals home · 0.19 away
17%
MexicovPeru
2-0
International Friendly · 03:30 · 2.64 expected goals home · 0.47 away
16%
LithuaniavAndorra
1-0
International Friendly · 17:00 · 1.99 expected goals home · 0.73 away
13%
BotswanavMozambique
1-1
International Friendly · 15:00 · 1.26 expected goals home · 1.56 away
12%
FijivNew Caledonia
1-1
International Friendly · 08:00 · 1.55 expected goals home · 1.49 away
11%
MauritiusvDjibouti
2-0
International Friendly · 19:00 · 2.15 expected goals home · 1.00 away
10%
United StatesvChile
2-1
International Friendly · 01:00 · 2.47 expected goals home · 1.14 away
9%
SeychellesvSri Lanka
1-2
International Friendly · 14:00 · 1.45 expected goals home · 2.15 away
9%
Papua New GuineavSolomon Islands
2-1
International Friendly · 05:00 · 2.30 expected goals home · 1.67 away
8%

Thursday 1 Oct

1
Cook IslandsvTahiti
1-1
International Friendly · 03:00 · 1.33 expected goals home · 1.70 away
11%

How recent Correct Score calls landed

8 of 100 — 8%

Every one published before kickoff and graded off the final score afterwards, misses included. Draws are excluded from Draw No Bet rather than counted as losses, because the market does not resolve on them.

28 SeptTürkiye 1–4 ItalyMissed
28 SeptSweden 3–1 PolandMissed
28 SeptNorthern Ireland 0–0 HungaryMissed
28 SeptBelgium 0–1 FranceMissed
28 SeptLatvia 0–0 CyprusMissed
28 SeptGeorgia 0–0 UkraineMissed
28 SeptArmenia 2–3 MontenegroMissed
28 SeptTajikistan 2–4 PalestineMissed
28 SeptSouth Korea 1–4 UruguayMissed

How the model calls Correct Score

Correct Score asks for the exact full-time scoreline. It's the hardest mainstream market to call — even the single most likely scoreline is typically only ~12-15% probable, so treat the top call as the best of a very open field. Bawler computes the joint probability of every realistic scoreline from 0-0 to 6-6 and surfaces the most likely.

It is the same model that powers our public track record: it works out how many goals each side is likely to score from their recent scoring and defending, factors in opponent strength and home advantage, then recalibrates against real results every week — so a 70% call keeps meaning 70%.

Full methodologyHow past calls landedPre-kickoff proof

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