Double Chance · Thursday, 13 August 2026
37 fixtures on today's slate, ranked by Bawler's model probability for the Double Chance market. Predictions are provisional until lineups are confirmed (around 75 minutes before kickoff), when each one is locked and cryptographically anchored to Bitcoin so we mathematically can't edit it after the result is in.
Today · Double Chance
Ranked by model probability. Higher = more confident. Figures are as of the latest build and stay provisional until each fixture locks at lineup confirmation.
| League | Fixture | Prediction | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Europa League - Qualification | Omonia Nicosia or Draw (1X) | 93% | |
| Europa League - Qualification | Rangers or Draw (1X) | 83% | |
| Conference League - Qualification | KF Shkëndija or Draw (1X) | 74% | |
| Europa League - Qualification | Heart of Midlothian or Draw (1X) | 74% | |
| Europa League - Qualification | Besiktas or FC Hradec Králové (12) | 72% | |
| Europa League - Qualification | CSU CraiovavKuPS Kuopio | CSU Craiova or KuPS Kuopio (12) | 72% |
| Europa League - Qualification | Gornik Zabrzev | Gornik Zabrze or Ferencvaros (12) | 72% |
| Europa League - Qualification | Pafos or RB Salzburg (12) | 72% | |
| Europa League - Qualification | KI Klaksvikv | KI Klaksvik or Lech Poznan (12) | 72% |
| Europa League - Qualification | Vikingur ReykjavikvFC Thun | Vikingur Reykjavik or FC Thun (12) | 72% |
| Europa League - Qualification | CSKA Sofiav | CSKA Sofia or Maccabi Tel-Aviv (12) | 72% |
| Europa League - Qualification | Anderlecht or PAOK (12) | 72% | |
| Europa League - Qualification | Egnatiav | Egnatia or Shamrock Rovers (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | Tobol KostanayvPartizan Belgrade | Tobol Kostanay or Partizan Belgrade (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FC Ilvesv | FC Ilves or Rijeka (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FK Qarabagv | FK Qarabag or Dynamo Kyiv (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FloravInter D'Escaldes | Flora or Inter D'Escaldes (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | Rigas Futbola SkolavJablonec | Rigas Futbola Skola or Jablonec (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | Dinamo Minskv | Dinamo Minsk or Braga (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | Dunajska StredavFC Twente | Dunajska Streda or FC Twente (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FC MidtjyllandvBohemians | FC Midtjylland or Bohemians (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FC NordsjællandvValur Reykjavik | FC Nordsjælland or Valur Reykjavik (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | Hammarby IFv | Hammarby IF or Raków Czestochowa (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | ML VitebskvBorac Banja Luka | ML Vitebsk or Borac Banja Luka (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | TromsovCFR Cluj-Napoca | Tromso or CFR Cluj-Napoca (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FC VaduzvFC Inter Turku | FC Vaduz or FC Inter Turku (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | NSI RunavikvFC Lugano | NSI Runavik or FC Lugano (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | Drita GjilanvTre Fiori | Drita Gjilan or Tre Fiori (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | St. GallenvSheriff Tiraspol | St. Gallen or Sheriff Tiraspol (12) | 72% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FC SionvFC Noah | FC Sion or FC Noah (12) | 72% |
Upcoming · Double Chance
These are early reads and will move as team news lands — each one is provisional until it locks at lineup confirmation.
| Date | League | Fixture | Prediction | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug | Liga Portugal | Sporting CPv | Sporting CP or Draw (1X) | 86% |
| 15 Aug | Jupiler Pro League | Racing GenkvKVC Westerlo | Racing Genk or Draw (1X) | 86% |
| 14 Aug | Super Lig | Galatasaray or Draw (1X) | 84% | |
| 15 Aug | Liga Portugal | Alverca or Draw (1X) | 84% | |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Sheffield United or Draw (1X) | 83% | |
| 16 Aug | MLS | Colorado Rapids or Draw (1X) | 83% | |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Portsmouth or Draw (1X) | 82% | |
| 15 Aug | LaLiga | Alavésv | Alavés or Draw (1X) | 81% |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Middlesbrough or Draw (1X) | 81% | |
| 15 Aug | Jupiler Pro League | Union St.-Gilloise or Draw (1X) | 80% | |
| 15 Aug | Super Lig | Gaziantep FKvAlanyaspor | Gaziantep FK or Draw (1X) | 78% |
| 14 Aug | Eredivisie | TelstarvSparta Rotterdam | Telstar or Draw (1X) | 78% |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Stoke CityvSwansea City | Stoke City or Draw (1X) | 78% |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Bolton WanderersvPreston North End | Bolton Wanderers or Draw (1X) | 78% |
| 15 Aug | Jupiler Pro League | KV KortrijkvAntwerp | KV Kortrijk or Draw (1X) | 77% |
| 15 Aug | Eredivisie | FC UtrechtvAZ Alkmaar | FC Utrecht or Draw (1X) | 77% |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Charlton AthleticvDerby County | Charlton Athletic or Draw (1X) | 76% |
| 15 Aug | LaLiga | SevillavRayo Vallecano | Sevilla or Draw (1X) | 76% |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Norwich CityvWest Bromwich Albion | Norwich City or Draw (1X) | 75% |
| 16 Aug | MLS | Houston Dynamo FCvLA Galaxy | Houston Dynamo FC or Draw (1X) | 74% |
| 15 Aug | MLS | Orlando City SCvFC Cincinnati | Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati (12) | 74% |
| 16 Aug | MLS | San Jose EarthquakesvSt. Louis CITY SC | San Jose Earthquakes or Draw (1X) | 74% |
| 15 Aug | Super Lig | KonyasporvCaykur Rizespor | Konyaspor or Draw (1X) | 74% |
| 16 Aug | MLS | Real Salt LakevMinnesota United FC | Real Salt Lake or Draw (1X) | 74% |
| 15 Aug | MLS | Atlanta United FCvRed Bull New York | Atlanta United FC or Red Bull New York (12) | 73% |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Bristol CityvMillwall | Bristol City or Draw (1X) | 73% |
| 15 Aug | Eredivisie | Willem IIvNEC Nijmegen | Willem II or Draw (1X) | 73% |
| 15 Aug | Eredivisie | Fortuna SittardvSC Cambuur | Fortuna Sittard or Draw (1X) | 72% |
| 15 Aug | MLS | Toronto FCvNew England Revolution | Toronto FC or Draw (1X) | 72% |
| 14 Aug | Jupiler Pro League | Cercle Brugge KSVvSint-Truidense | Cercle Brugge KSV or Sint-Truidense (12) | 72% |
> dated_predictions() · Thursday, 13 August 2026
Fresh double chance predictions for the next fixtures, regenerated by Bawler's model each morning and logged before kickoff. Last regenerated .
Bawler's model has 37 double chance predictions for today. The most likely is Omonia Nicosia v Lincoln Red Imps at 93%.
Bawler's model has 5 double chance predictions for tomorrow. The most likely is Sporting CP v Vitória de Guimaraes at 86%.
Bawler's model has 36 double chance predictions for this weekend. The most likely is Racing Genk v KVC Westerlo at 86%.
Every prediction above is logged before kickoff and settled publicly, right or wrong — see how past predictions landed.
How the model calls it
Double Chance covers two of the three 1X2 outcomes at once — a lower bar to clear, so a much higher hit rate. Bawler picks the strongest Double Chance combination per match: 1X (home or draw), X2 (draw or away), or 12 (no draw).
Every probability above comes from the same model that powers our public track record: it estimates how many goals each side is likely to score from their recent scoring and defending form, factors in international strength and home advantage, then works out the probability of each outcome. Those probabilities are recalibrated against real results every week, so a 70% call keeps meaning 70%. Probabilities are the model's honest estimate, not sales copy.
Want the “why” on a specific call? Click into the match page for the full breakdown. See the methodology page for the full mathematical write-up, or /verify for proof every prediction above was published before kickoff.
Other markets
Popular teams