Draw No Bet 29 September 2026

Draw No Bet (DNB) predictions today

Strongest Draw No Bet call on Wednesday 30 Sept
100%
Argentina (Draw No Bet)
0
today
22
next 14 days
2
competitions
International Friendly · 00:00
ArgentinavBolivia

Every Draw No Bet call below is the model's own output, ranked highest probability first — 22 fixtures across 2 competitions, with no curation step in between.

Each call is provisional until lineups are confirmed, then locked and time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before kickoff so it can't be edited afterwards — see the proof. Model last rerun .

Upcoming Draw No Bet predictions

next 14 days

Early reads. They move as team news lands, right up to lineup confirmation.

Tomorrow

12
San MarinovAlbania
Albania (Draw No Bet)
UEFA Nations League · 19:45
97%
SpainvCroatia
Spain (Draw No Bet)
UEFA Nations League · 19:45
94%
MoldovavFaroe Islands
Faroe Islands (Draw No Bet)
UEFA Nations League · 17:00
90%
CzechiavEngland
England (Draw No Bet)
UEFA Nations League · 19:45
89%
SlovakiavKazakhstan
Slovakia (Draw No Bet)
UEFA Nations League · 19:45
81%
SloveniavNorth Macedonia
Slovenia (Draw No Bet)
UEFA Nations League · 19:45
78%
FinlandvBelarus
Finland (Draw No Bet)
UEFA Nations League · 17:00
73%
ScotlandvSwitzerland
Switzerland (Draw No Bet)
UEFA Nations League · 19:45
70%
AustraliavBrazil
Brazil (Draw No Bet)
International Friendly · 11:00
69%
RussiavIran
Russia (Draw No Bet)
International Friendly · 17:00
63%
LuxembourgvIceland
Iceland (Draw No Bet)
UEFA Nations League · 19:45
58%
BulgariavEstonia
Bulgaria (Draw No Bet)
UEFA Nations League · 19:45
57%

Wednesday 30 Sept

9
ArgentinavBolivia
Argentina (Draw No Bet)
International Friendly · 00:00
100%
MexicovPeru
Mexico (Draw No Bet)
International Friendly · 03:30
95%
LithuaniavAndorra
Lithuania (Draw No Bet)
International Friendly · 17:00
85%
United StatesvChile
United States (Draw No Bet)
International Friendly · 01:00
81%
MauritiusvDjibouti
Mauritius (Draw No Bet)
International Friendly · 19:00
80%
SeychellesvSri Lanka
Sri Lanka (Draw No Bet)
International Friendly · 14:00
68%
Papua New GuineavSolomon Islands
Papua New Guinea (Draw No Bet)
International Friendly · 05:00
65%
BotswanavMozambique
Mozambique (Draw No Bet)
International Friendly · 15:00
59%
FijivNew Caledonia
Fiji (Draw No Bet)
International Friendly · 08:00
52%

Thursday 1 Oct

1
Cook IslandsvTahiti
Tahiti (Draw No Bet)
International Friendly · 03:00
61%

How recent Draw No Bet calls landed

66 of 100 — 66%

Every one published before kickoff and graded off the final score afterwards, misses included. Draws are excluded from Draw No Bet rather than counted as losses, because the market does not resolve on them.

28 SeptTürkiye 1–4 ItalyMissed
28 SeptSweden 3–1 PolandLanded
28 SeptRomania 2–4 Bosnia-HerzegovinaLanded
28 SeptBelgium 0–1 FranceMissed
28 SeptArmenia 2–3 MontenegroLanded
28 SeptTajikistan 2–4 PalestineMissed
28 SeptSouth Korea 1–4 UruguayMissed
28 SeptJapan 2–1 VenezuelaLanded
27 SeptNorway 1–2 PortugalMissed
27 SeptIsrael 0–3 Republic of IrelandLanded

How the model calls Draw No Bet

Draw No Bet asks which side wins once the draw is taken out of the equation — if the match ends level, it simply doesn't count. It's the cleanest way to say "this side is stronger" when a draw is genuinely plausible. Bawler computes DNB probability as P(side wins) / (P(side wins) + P(other side wins)).

It is the same model that powers our public track record: it works out how many goals each side is likely to score from their recent scoring and defending, factors in opponent strength and home advantage, then recalibrates against real results every week — so a 70% call keeps meaning 70%.

Full methodologyHow past calls landedPre-kickoff proof

Keep exploring