Draw No Bet (DNB) predictions today
Every Draw No Bet call below is the model's own output, ranked highest probability first — 22 fixtures across 2 competitions, with no curation step in between.
Each call is provisional until lineups are confirmed, then locked and time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before kickoff so it can't be edited afterwards — see the proof. Model last rerun .
Upcoming Draw No Bet predictions
next 14 daysEarly reads. They move as team news lands, right up to lineup confirmation.
Tomorrow
12Wednesday 30 Sept
9How recent Draw No Bet calls landed
66 of 100 — 66%Every one published before kickoff and graded off the final score afterwards, misses included. Draws are excluded from Draw No Bet rather than counted as losses, because the market does not resolve on them.
How the model calls Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet asks which side wins once the draw is taken out of the equation — if the match ends level, it simply doesn't count. It's the cleanest way to say "this side is stronger" when a draw is genuinely plausible. Bawler computes DNB probability as P(side wins) / (P(side wins) + P(other side wins)).
It is the same model that powers our public track record: it works out how many goals each side is likely to score from their recent scoring and defending, factors in opponent strength and home advantage, then recalibrates against real results every week — so a 70% call keeps meaning 70%.