Draw No Bet · Thursday, 13 August 2026
37 fixtures on today's slate, ranked by Bawler's model probability for the Draw No Bet market. Predictions are provisional until lineups are confirmed (around 75 minutes before kickoff), when each one is locked and cryptographically anchored to Bitcoin so we mathematically can't edit it after the result is in.
Today · Draw No Bet
Ranked by model probability. Higher = more confident. Figures are as of the latest build and stay provisional until each fixture locks at lineup confirmation.
| League | Fixture | Prediction | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Europa League - Qualification | Omonia Nicosia (Draw No Bet) | 91% | |
| Europa League - Qualification | Rangers (Draw No Bet) | 73% | |
| Europa League - Qualification | Heart of Midlothian (Draw No Bet) | 61% | |
| Conference League - Qualification | KF Shkëndija (Draw No Bet) | 60% | |
| Europa League - Qualification | Besiktas (Draw No Bet) | 56% | |
| Europa League - Qualification | CSU CraiovavKuPS Kuopio | CSU Craiova (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Europa League - Qualification | Gornik Zabrzev | Gornik Zabrze (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Europa League - Qualification | Pafos (Draw No Bet) | 56% | |
| Europa League - Qualification | KI Klaksvikv | KI Klaksvik (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Europa League - Qualification | Vikingur ReykjavikvFC Thun | Vikingur Reykjavik (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Europa League - Qualification | CSKA Sofiav | CSKA Sofia (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Europa League - Qualification | Anderlecht (Draw No Bet) | 56% | |
| Europa League - Qualification | Egnatiav | Egnatia (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | Tobol KostanayvPartizan Belgrade | Tobol Kostanay (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FC Ilvesv | FC Ilves (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FK Qarabagv | FK Qarabag (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FloravInter D'Escaldes | Flora (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | Rigas Futbola SkolavJablonec | Rigas Futbola Skola (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | Dinamo Minskv | Dinamo Minsk (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | Dunajska StredavFC Twente | Dunajska Streda (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FC MidtjyllandvBohemians | FC Midtjylland (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FC NordsjællandvValur Reykjavik | FC Nordsjælland (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | Hammarby IFv | Hammarby IF (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | ML VitebskvBorac Banja Luka | ML Vitebsk (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | TromsovCFR Cluj-Napoca | Tromso (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FC VaduzvFC Inter Turku | FC Vaduz (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | NSI RunavikvFC Lugano | NSI Runavik (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | Drita GjilanvTre Fiori | Drita Gjilan (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | St. GallenvSheriff Tiraspol | St. Gallen (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
| Conference League - Qualification | FC SionvFC Noah | FC Sion (Draw No Bet) | 56% |
Upcoming · Draw No Bet
These are early reads and will move as team news lands — each one is provisional until it locks at lineup confirmation.
| Date | League | Fixture | Prediction | Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug | Liga Portugal | Sporting CPv | Sporting CP (Draw No Bet) | 82% |
| 15 Aug | Jupiler Pro League | Racing GenkvKVC Westerlo | Racing Genk (Draw No Bet) | 81% |
| 14 Aug | Super Lig | Galatasaray (Draw No Bet) | 78% | |
| 16 Aug | MLS | Colorado Rapids (Draw No Bet) | 77% | |
| 15 Aug | Liga Portugal | Alverca (Draw No Bet) | 77% | |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Sheffield United (Draw No Bet) | 77% | |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Portsmouth (Draw No Bet) | 73% | |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Middlesbrough (Draw No Bet) | 72% | |
| 15 Aug | LaLiga | Alavésv | Alavés (Draw No Bet) | 72% |
| 15 Aug | Jupiler Pro League | Union St.-Gilloise (Draw No Bet) | 71% | |
| 14 Aug | Eredivisie | TelstarvSparta Rotterdam | Telstar (Draw No Bet) | 70% |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Bolton WanderersvPreston North End | Bolton Wanderers (Draw No Bet) | 69% |
| 15 Aug | Super Lig | Gaziantep FKvAlanyaspor | Gaziantep FK (Draw No Bet) | 69% |
| 15 Aug | Eredivisie | FC UtrechtvAZ Alkmaar | FC Utrecht (Draw No Bet) | 67% |
| 15 Aug | Jupiler Pro League | KV KortrijkvAntwerp | KV Kortrijk (Draw No Bet) | 67% |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Stoke CityvSwansea City | Stoke City (Draw No Bet) | 67% |
| 15 Aug | LaLiga | SevillavRayo Vallecano | Sevilla (Draw No Bet) | 64% |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Charlton AthleticvDerby County | Charlton Athletic (Draw No Bet) | 64% |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Norwich CityvWest Bromwich Albion | Norwich City (Draw No Bet) | 63% |
| 16 Aug | MLS | Houston Dynamo FCvLA Galaxy | Houston Dynamo FC (Draw No Bet) | 63% |
| 16 Aug | MLS | San Jose EarthquakesvSt. Louis CITY SC | San Jose Earthquakes (Draw No Bet) | 63% |
| 16 Aug | MLS | Real Salt LakevMinnesota United FC | Real Salt Lake (Draw No Bet) | 62% |
| 15 Aug | Super Lig | KonyasporvCaykur Rizespor | Konyaspor (Draw No Bet) | 62% |
| 15 Aug | MLS | Atlanta United FCvRed Bull New York | Atlanta United FC (Draw No Bet) | 61% |
| 15 Aug | Eredivisie | Willem IIvNEC Nijmegen | Willem II (Draw No Bet) | 61% |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Bristol CityvMillwall | Bristol City (Draw No Bet) | 61% |
| 15 Aug | Eredivisie | Fortuna SittardvSC Cambuur | Fortuna Sittard (Draw No Bet) | 60% |
| 16 Aug | MLS | Nashville SCvInter Miami CF | Nashville SC (Draw No Bet) | 59% |
| 15 Aug | MLS | Charlotte FCvColumbus Crew | Charlotte FC (Draw No Bet) | 59% |
| 15 Aug | MLS | Toronto FCvNew England Revolution | Toronto FC (Draw No Bet) | 59% |
> dated_predictions() · Thursday, 13 August 2026
Fresh draw no bet predictions for the next fixtures, regenerated by Bawler's model each morning and logged before kickoff. Last regenerated .
Bawler's model has 37 draw no bet predictions for today. The most likely is Omonia Nicosia v Lincoln Red Imps at 91%.
Bawler's model has 5 draw no bet predictions for tomorrow. The most likely is Sporting CP v Vitória de Guimaraes at 82%.
Bawler's model has 36 draw no bet predictions for this weekend. The most likely is Racing Genk v KVC Westerlo at 81%.
Every prediction above is logged before kickoff and settled publicly, right or wrong — see how past predictions landed.
How the model calls it
Draw No Bet asks which side wins once the draw is taken out of the equation — if the match ends level, it simply doesn't count. It's the cleanest way to say "this side is stronger" when a draw is genuinely plausible. Bawler computes DNB probability as P(side wins) / (P(side wins) + P(other side wins)).
Every probability above comes from the same model that powers our public track record: it estimates how many goals each side is likely to score from their recent scoring and defending form, factors in international strength and home advantage, then works out the probability of each outcome. Those probabilities are recalibrated against real results every week, so a 70% call keeps meaning 70%. Probabilities are the model's honest estimate, not sales copy.
Want the “why” on a specific call? Click into the match page for the full breakdown. See the methodology page for the full mathematical write-up, or /verify for proof every prediction above was published before kickoff.
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