Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei prediction — International friendlies · Wed 11 Nov · 12:00 UK

International friendlies · Wed 11 Nov · 12:00 UKUpdated Mon 9 Nov, 17:00 UK
94Vietnam win5Draw1Chinese Taipei win
The call
94%
Vietnam to win

Vietnam v Chinese Taipei prediction

Our model makes Vietnam clear favourites for this International friendlies game, with a 94% chance of winning. Chinese Taipei are given 1%, and the draw 5%. Our predicted score is Vietnam 3–0 Chinese Taipei, at 16%. Vietnam are expected to score 3.7 goals and Chinese Taipei 0.3, 4.0 between them. There is a 24% chance both sides score and three or more goals is 75%.

Vietnam have three wins, one draw and two defeats from their last six games, and lost the most recent.

Of their last two meetings on our records, Vietnam have won two, Chinese Taipei none. The last meeting ended Vietnam 4–1 Chinese Taipei, in Mar 2016.

Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.

Predicted score
3–0
Vietnam to win · 16% for this exact score
Expected goals
3.7v0.3
4.0 in total
Both teams score
24%
No
3+ goals
75%
Likely

What we expect from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

VietnamVietnamChinese TaipeiChinese Taipei
3.7Goals0.3
usually 2.0usually 0.7
VietnamVietnamChinese TaipeiChinese Taipei
1.6Goals0.1
VietnamVietnamChinese TaipeiChinese Taipei
2.1Goals0.2

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

More chances

2 or more goals90%
Goal before half-time83%

Vietnam · last 6

Lv Malaysia0–110/05
Wv Pakistan4–210/02
Lv Thailand0–209/29
Wv Philippines1–009/26
Wv Myanmar4–007/18
Wv Malaysia3–103/31

Chinese Taipei · last 6

Lv Sri Lanka1–303/31
Lat Turkmenistan1–311/18
Lv Thailand1–610/14
Lat Thailand0–210/09
Lat Indonesia0–609/05
Lat Sri Lanka1–306/10

Head to head

Mar 2016Vietnam 4–1 Chinese Taipei
Sept 2015Chinese Taipei 1–2 Vietnam

First half — what we expect

Vietnam
80%
to score before half-time
Chinese Taipei
12%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Second half — who scores?

At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.

What would change the call

Vietnam to win is 94% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:

Vietnam lead 1–0 at half-time99%
Chinese Taipei lead 1–0 at half-time52%
Goalless at half-time81%

Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.

Build a combination on this match →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Chinese Taipei
Next up
14 NovHKyrgyz Republic12:00
All fixtures & results →Vietnam form →Chinese Taipei form →

Common questions

Who will win Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei?

Bawler's model rates this match: Vietnam are favoured (94% win probability vs 1% for Chinese Taipei, 5% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.

What is the predicted score for Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei?

Bawler's predicted score is Vietnam 3-0 Chinese Taipei: the most likely score if Vietnam win, which is the likeliest result (94%). Our model puts that exact score at 15.8%. Expected total goals: 4.0.

How does Bawler predict Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei?

Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Vietnam 94%, the draw 5% and Chinese Taipei 1%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei?

Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 24% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Vietnam expecting 3.67 goals and Chinese Taipei 0.28.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei?

Bawler's model expects 4.0 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 75%.

When are the Vietnam v Chinese Taipei line-ups announced?

Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.