Lithuania v Suriname prediction
Our model gives Lithuania 28%, the draw 29% and Suriname 43%, so Suriname start as favourites. If you want one score, our predicted score is Lithuania 0–1 Suriname, the most likely Suriname win (12%). Lithuania are expected to score 1.0 goals and Suriname 1.4, 2.4 between them. There is a 48% chance both sides score and three or more goals is 43%.
We expect Lithuania to have 10.5 shots (3.5 on target) and Suriname 10.7 (4.6 on target), and corners at 4.2 to 3.1.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.
What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Lithuania · last 6
Suriname · last 6
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Suriname or draw is 72% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who will win Lithuania vs Suriname?
Bawler's model rates this match: Suriname are favoured (43% win probability vs 28% for Lithuania, 29% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Lithuania vs Suriname?
Bawler's predicted score is Lithuania 0-1 Suriname: the most likely score if Suriname win, which is the likeliest result (43%). Our model puts that exact score at 12.0%. Expected total goals: 2.4.
How does Bawler predict Lithuania vs Suriname?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Lithuania 28%, the draw 29% and Suriname 43%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Lithuania vs Suriname?
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 48% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Lithuania expecting 1.04 goals and Suriname 1.37.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Lithuania vs Suriname?
Bawler's model expects 2.4 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 43%.
When are the Lithuania v Suriname line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.