United Arab Emirates v Honduras prediction
Our model makes Honduras clear favourites for this International friendlies game, with an 87% chance of winning. United Arab Emirates are given 2%, and the draw 10%. Our predicted score is United Arab Emirates 0–2 Honduras (17%), though no one exact score is likely on its own. Our expected goals are 0.3 for United Arab Emirates and 2.8 for Honduras, 3.1 in all. There is a 26% chance both sides score and three or more goals is 60%.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.
What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
More chances
First half — what we expect
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Honduras to win is 87% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who will win United Arab Emirates vs Honduras?
Bawler's model rates this match: Honduras are favoured (87% win probability vs 2% for United Arab Emirates, 10% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for United Arab Emirates vs Honduras?
Bawler's predicted score is United Arab Emirates 0-2 Honduras: the most likely score if Honduras win, which is the likeliest result (87%). Our model puts that exact score at 17.3%. Expected total goals: 3.1.
How does Bawler predict United Arab Emirates vs Honduras?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives United Arab Emirates 2%, the draw 10% and Honduras 87%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in United Arab Emirates vs Honduras?
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 26% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on United Arab Emirates expecting 0.33 goals and Honduras 2.75.
Over or under 2.5 goals in United Arab Emirates vs Honduras?
Bawler's model expects 3.1 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 60%.
When are the United Arab Emirates v Honduras line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.