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Burnley
Premier League · Team page

Burnley

FormDLDLD
80%
Our hit rate on BUR
15
Forecasts settled
19th
Model strength rank

Fixture run · next 2

Colour = model difficulty for Burnley
WAT (A)
10 Oct
CHA (H)
13 Oct

Season averages · per game

Bar = vs Premier League average · 49 matches
10.4lge avg 13.1
Shots per game
3.3lge avg 4.5
Shots on target per game
1.0lge avg 1.5
Goals scored per game
1.9lge avg 1.3
Goals conceded per game
0.9lge avg 1.5
xG for per game
1.8lge avg 1.3
xG against per game
52%lge avg 50%
Possession
4.1lge avg 5.1
Corners per game
Next fixture · Sat 10 Oct 15:00
WatfordWatfordvsBurnleyBurnley
Medium confidence · Both teams to score55%
Burnley win37%
Draw27%
Watford win36%
Most likely score1-1 · 12%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to scoreYes · 55%
Publishes 07:30 UK · locks at lineupsFull match preview →
Key players · attacking outputPer 90 · this season
BurnleyZeki AmdouniFWD · 0.35 xG per 900.35
BurnleyLargie RamazaniFWD · 0.24 xG per 900.24
BurnleyOliver SonneDEF · 0.22 xG per 900.22
Our record on Burnley · settled in publicFull track record →
19 SeptBurnley v DerbyOver 1.5 goals78%WON
12 SeptSwansea v BurnleyBurnley or draw67%LOST
8 SeptWrexham v BurnleyBurnley or draw66%WON
5 SeptBurnley v Bristol CityBurnley or draw80%LOST
BurnleyBurnley· continues from the hero above49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded · updated daily

Form · last 6

Newest first · click a tile for the settled forecast
DRAW1–1vs Derby19 SeptLOSS1–3@ Swansea12 SeptDRAW1–1@ Wrexham8 SeptLOSS1–2vs Bristol City5 SeptDRAW1–1vs Middlesbrough2 SeptLOSS1–4@ Norwich29 Aug
At home · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.11.5
Shots10.914.8
On target3.35.2
Corners4.05.5
Away · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.02.4
Shots9.816.8
On target3.35.5
Corners4.25.5
At home · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.40.9
Shots4.97.3
On target1.33.2
Corners1.73.4
23 of the 25 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.51.1
Shots4.37.7
On target1.12.4
Corners1.72.6
23 of the 24 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
At home · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.60.6
Shots5.98.3
On target2.02.3
Corners2.22.4
23 of the 25 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.61.4
Shots5.09.1
On target2.03.2
Corners2.02.9
23 of the 24 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.

Squad · 33 players

Coach Nicky Hayen · ★ = model's key threats · from FotMob, 28 Sept 2026
Goalkeepers
1Max Weiß22 · GER
13Ben Amos36 · ENG
Defenders
2Kyle Walker36 · ENG
3Max Alleyne21 · ENG
14Connor Roberts31 · WAL
+6 more
18Hjalmar Ekdal27 · SWE
20Shurandy Sambo25 · CUW
22Oliver Sonne★25 · PER
23Lucas Pires25 · BRA
36Jordan Beyer26 · GER
44Igor Julio28 · BRA
Midfielders
5Reo Hatate28 · JPN
8Ugo Raghouber23 · FRA
21Aaron Ramsey23 · ENG
24Josh Cullen30 · IRL
28Hannibal Mejbri23 · TUN
+3 more
29Josh Laurent31 · ENG
30Lluc Castell20 · ESP
31Mike Trésor27 · BEL
Forwards
Dastan Satpaev18 · KAZ
Michael Obafemi26 · IRL
9Jamie Vardy39 · ENG
10Marcus Edwards27 · CYP
+6 more
11Jaydon Banel21 · NED
11Zeki Amdouni★25 · SUI
19Largie Ramazani★25 · BEL
27Armando Broja25 · ALB
35Ashley Barnes36 · ENG

Transfer desk · this window

All 28 moves →
INJamie VardyST · from Free agentUndisclosed6 Sept
OUTLyle FosterST · to Houston Dynamo FCLoan4 Sept
OUTVernon MasaraST · to Peterborough UnitedUndisclosed3 Sept
INReo HatateCM · from CelticUndisclosed2 Sept
OUTZian FlemmingST · to Ipswich Town€20m1 Sept

Common questions

Who do Burnley play next?

Burnley play Watford away on Sat 10 Oct 15:00 UK. The published call is both teams to score, at 55%. Read the full match preview

What is the model's Burnley v Watford call?

medium confidence: Both teams to score, at 55%. The forecast is published at 07:30 UK and locked when the lineups land, so it can be graded afterwards. See every market for this fixture

How accurate has Bawler been on Burnley?

12 of 15 settled Burnley forecasts were right (80%). Every one was published before kickoff and graded in public. See the full track record

What are Burnley averaging this season?

10.4 shots and 1.0 goals a game, conceding 1.9, counted over 49 competitive matches with friendlies excluded — every one a counted match result, not a projection. Compare it with the rest of the league

Who have Burnley signed and sold?

28 confirmed moves in the current window. The newest in: Jamie Vardy, Reo Hatate. The newest out: Lyle Foster, Vernon Masara, Zian Flemming. 7 of this club's moves have a written report. Follow the transfer desk

Burnley moves we wrote up

7 written up · 21 more confirmed in the windowTransfer desk →
In
FlorentinoCM · from Benfica€24m12 Jun
Out
Zian FlemmingST · to Ipswich Town€20m2 Sept
FlorentinoCM · to Ipswich Town€19m4 Aug
Luca KoleoshoLW · to Paris FC€14m29 Jul
Maxime EstèveCB · to RB Leipzig€25m17 Jul
Loum TchaounaRW · to Coventry City€23m11 Jul
Jaidon AnthonyLW · to Brentford€18m7 Jul

The Burnley fixtures after that

Win, draw and loss are Burnley's own chances
DateFixtureWinDrawLossO/U 2.5BTTSStrongest call
Tue 13 Octvs Charlton55%25%20%Under 50%Yes 50%Burnley to win 55%

Head-to-head · the fixtures ahead

Every recorded meeting, oriented to Burnley
OpponentMetWDLLast meetingPreview
Watford10532Watford 1-2 Burnley · Apr 2025Match preview →

Championship table

FotMob, 28 Sept 2026
#TeamPWDLGF-GAGDPts
1Swansea852113-6+717
2West Ham843122-11+1115
3Middlesbrough843116-12+415
4Wolves742115-10+514
5West Brom842210-8+214
6QPR834110-7+313
7Stoke841313-12+113
8Bristol City841311-12-113
9Charlton83327-10-312
10Birmingham825112-11+111
11Millwall832315-15011
12Lincoln83237-8-111
13Southampton842219-10+910
14Wrexham82429-12-310
15Bolton831411-15-410
16Blackburn823312-1209
17Norwich830516-17-19
18Sheff Utd82339-11-29
19Portsmouth72239-10-18
20Watford82247-10-38
21Cardiff814310-12-27
22Derby81257-14-75
23Preston81168-15-74
24Burnley80449-17-84