Burnley Prediction
Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
Burnley prediction: Bawler's model rates Burnley at 1.02 expected goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Burnley fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Burnley are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.80 expected goals a game against a Premier League average of 1.46. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Burnley have been correct 100% of the time.
Form pulse
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
Attack vs defence
How Burnley compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.46 scored, 1.46 conceded).
📊 Burnley in numbers
40 competitive matches · friendlies excludedReal counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →
When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Burnley fixture, it is right 6 out of 6 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
Recent matches (last 6)
Transfer activity
Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →