Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Portsmouth

Team profile · ENGLAND: Championship

Portsmouth Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

5 settled

Goals for

1.12

Expected, per match

Goals against

1.19

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

100%

5/5 calls

Portsmouth prediction: for Portsmouth's next match — Portsmouth vs QPR on Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Portsmouth win looks most likely (50%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Portsmouth sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.12 expected goals a game and conceding 1.19. Next up is Queens Park Rangers, where the model has them narrowly ahead at 50%.

Next match

Home vs QPR · Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win

50%

Portsmouth

Draw

32%

Loss

18%

QPR

High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 75%

Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record

1W 3D 1L

Real goals

1.2 – 1.4

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Portsmouth compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for

1.12

Below average

Goals against

1.19

Tighter than most

Scored1.12

Conceded1.19

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.29 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says

Misfiring in attack

Averaging 1.12 xG per match · -0.17 above the ENGLAND: Championship average of 1.29.

Model is strongest on: Result

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Portsmouth fixtures (4/4).

📊 Portsmouth in numbers

47 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.1

Goals · per game

let in 1.4

🏠 1.1✈️ 1.0

5.7

Corners · per game

give up 5.0

🏠 6.3✈️ 5.0

12.4

Shots · per game

faced 11.8

🏠 15.4✈️ 9.3

3.7

On target · per game

faced 4.1

🏠 4.4✈️ 3.1

🗓️ Last 6 games

08 Aug

1-3

@ West Ham

🚩 7-3

02 May

1-1

vs Birmingham

🚩 3-9

25 Apr

3-1

@ Stoke

🚩 1-8

21 Apr

1-5

@ Coventry

🚩 1-2

18 Apr

1-0

vs Leicester

🚩 5-7

14 Apr

2-0

vs Ipswich

🚩 3-7

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Portsmouth matches

100%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Portsmouth fixture, it is right 5 out of 5 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.