Bawler / USA: MLS / Houston Dynamo

Team profile · USA: MLS

Houston Dynamo Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

11 settled

Goals for

1.33

Expected, per match

Goals against

1.47

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

73%

8/11 calls

Houston Dynamo prediction: for Houston Dynamo's next match — Houston Dynamo vs LA Galaxy on Sunday 16 Aug, 00:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Houston Dynamo win looks most likely (44%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Houston Dynamo sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.33 expected goals a game and conceding 1.47. Form is with them: 3 straight wins. Next up is LA Galaxy, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 44%.

Next match

Home vs LA Galaxy · Sunday 16 Aug, 00:30 UTC

Win

44%

This team

Draw

31%

Loss

26%

LA Galaxy

High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 82%

Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

2-0

@ New England Revolution

2-0

@ Sporting Kansas City

Record

6W 2D 3L

Real goals

1.4 – 0.9

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Houston Dynamo compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for

1.33

Below average

Goals against

1.47

Leakier than most

Scored1.33

Conceded1.47

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says

Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Houston Dynamo fixtures (6/8).

On a 3-match winning run

Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.

📊 Houston Dynamo in numbers

45 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.3

Goals · per game

let in 1.5

🏠 1.2✈️ 1.4

4.8

Corners · per game

give up 5.3

🏠 5.6✈️ 4.1

12.5

Shots · per game

faced 11.7

🏠 13.9✈️ 11.1

4.0

On target · per game

faced 4.0

🏠 4.5✈️ 3.6

🗓️ Last 6 games

08 Aug

2-0

@ New England Revolution

🚩 4-9

02 Aug

2-0

@ Sporting Kansas City

🚩 6-2

26 Jul

3-0

vs Austin

🚩 1-6

23 Jul

1-1

vs D.C. United

🚩 3-3

24 May

1-1

@ LA Galaxy

🚩 2-8

17 May

1-0

vs Vancouver Whitecaps

🚩 4-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Houston Dynamo matches

73%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 11

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Houston Dynamo fixture, it is right 8 out of 11 (73%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Houston Dynamo by market

Goals (Over/Under)75%6/8

Result67%2/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Houston Dynamo fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Houston Dynamo matches.