Bawler / England: Premier League / Brentford
Team profile · England: Premier League

Brentford Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.59
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.51
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
67%
4/6 calls

Brentford prediction: Bawler's model rates Brentford at 1.59 expected goals scored and 1.51 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 67% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 1W 3D 1L. No Brentford fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Brentford sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.59 expected goals a game and conceding 1.51. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.59 expected. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Brentford have been correct 67% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 4D 1L
Real goals
1.0 – 1.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Brentford compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.59
Above average
Goals against
1.51
Leakier than most
Scored1.59
Conceded1.51

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.46 scored, 1.46 conceded).

📊 Brentford in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
🏠 1.7✈️ 1.2
4.8
Corners · per game
give up 5.4
🏠 4.4✈️ 5.2
10.7
Shots · per game
faced 13.3
🏠 12.0✈️ 9.3
3.9
On target · per game
faced 4.3
🏠 4.1✈️ 3.6
🗓️ Last 6 games
24 May
1-1
@ Liverpool
🚩 2-14
17 May
2-2
vs Crystal Palace
🚩 9-4
09 May
0-3
@ Manchester City
🚩 2-10
02 May
3-0
vs West Ham
🚩 2-6
27 Apr
1-2
@ Manchester United
🚩 8-7
18 Apr
0-0
vs Fulham
🚩 9-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Brentford matches
67%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Brentford fixture, it is right 4 out of 6 (67%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INMamadou SangaréDMfrom Lens€48m
INJaidon AnthonyLWfrom Burnley€18m
INJannik SchusterCBfrom Salzburg€18m
INCallum WilsonSTfrom West Ham UnitedFree transfer
INAidan StokesGKfrom Red Bull New YorkLoan
OUTRomelle DonovanRWto Sheffield UnitedLoan
OUTFrank OnyekaDMto Coventry City€7m
OUTJordan HendersonDMto Free agentFree transfer
OUTTony YoganeLWto AberdeenUndisclosed
OUTBenjamin ArthurCBto PortsmouthLoan
OUTMatthew CoxGKto BarnetLoan
OUTMichael OlakigbeSTto WSG TirolLoan
OUTBen KrauhausAMto FalkirkLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

FPL assets at this club (2026/27 projections)

ThiagoThiagoFWD · £8.0m · 16.1% owned3.9 pts
O.DangoO.DangoMID · £6.5m · 1.4% owned3.6 pts
CollinsCollinsDEF · £5.5m · 2.1% owned3.6 pts
KelleherKelleherGKP · £5.0m · 5.7% owned3.3 pts
SchadeSchadeMID · £6.0m · 1.9% owned2.9 pts
Next 5:TOT (H)LEE (A)SUN (H)BOU (A)CHE (H)

Full predicted points table → · Fixture difficulty matrix →

Brentford prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly