Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Bristol City
Team profile · ENGLAND: Championship

Bristol City Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
5 settled
Goals for
1.27
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.21
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
60%
3/5 calls

Bristol City prediction: for Bristol City's next match — Bristol City vs Millwall on Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Bristol City win looks most likely (42%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Bristol City sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.27 expected goals a game and conceding 1.21. Next up is Millwall, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 42%.

Next match

Home vs Millwall · Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
42%
Bristol City
Draw
31%
Loss
27%
Millwall
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 80%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 0D 2L
Real goals
1.4 – 1.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Bristol City compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.27
Below average
Goals against
1.21
Tighter than most
Scored1.27
Conceded1.21

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.29 scored, 1.28 conceded).

📊 Bristol City in numbers

47 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 1.4✈️ 1.1
5.0
Corners · per game
give up 5.0
🏠 5.0✈️ 5.1
12.5
Shots · per game
faced 13.2
🏠 13.6✈️ 11.4
4.1
On target · per game
faced 4.4
🏠 4.2✈️ 4.0
🗓️ Last 6 games
06 Aug
0-1
vs Walsall
🚩 13-4
02 May
2-0
vs Stoke
🚩 2-15
25 Apr
1-2
@ Birmingham
🚩 5-6
21 Apr
2-2
@ Southampton
🚩 3-7
18 Apr
2-4
vs Norwich
🚩 2-10
11 Apr
0-0
@ QPR
🚩 6-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Bristol City matches
60%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Bristol City fixture, it is right 3 out of 5 (60%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Bristol City by market
Goals (Over/Under)67%2/3
Result50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Bristol City fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Bristol City matches.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INLorent TolajSTfrom Plymouth Argyle€4.7m
INLisav Naif EissatCBfrom Maccabi Haifa€2.5m
INSam GreenwoodAMfrom Pogoń SzczecinUndisclosed
INSam TickleGKfrom Wigan AthleticUndisclosed
INGibson YahDMfrom FC VolendamUndisclosed
INJed WallaceRMfrom Free agentFree transfer
INBradley CollinsGKfrom Free agentFree transfer
INRio CardinesRWBfrom Crystal PalaceLoan
OUTSinclair ArmstrongSTto Göztepe€1.8m
OUTRoss McCrorieRWBto Rangers€1m
OUTMark SykesRWBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTJamie Knight-LebelCBto MotherwellLoan
OUTJosh StokesAMto ReadingLoan
OUTEphraim YeboahSTto Ashton UnitedLoan
OUTSam MorsyDMto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTJoe LumleyGKto Sheffield WednesdayFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Bristol City prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly