Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Birmingham
Team profile · ENGLAND: Championship

Birmingham Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
6 settled
Goals for
1.20
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.22
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
50%
3/6 calls

Birmingham prediction: for Birmingham's next match — Sheffield United vs Birmingham on Saturday 15 Aug, 16:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Sheffield United are favoured (54%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Birmingham sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.20 expected goals a game and conceding 1.22. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.67 goals a game against 1.20 expected. Next up is a trip to Sheffield United, where the model has them as underdogs at 17%.

Next match

Away vs Sheffield United · Saturday 15 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Win
17%
Birmingham
Draw
29%
Loss
54%
Opponent
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 79%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 2D 3L
Real goals
0.7 – 1.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Birmingham compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.20
Below average
Goals against
1.22
Tighter than most
Scored1.20
Conceded1.22

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.29 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
Birmingham matches give the model a harder read here — 1/3 (33%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

📊 Birmingham in numbers

49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
🏠 1.7✈️ 0.8
5.6
Corners · per game
give up 4.5
🏠 6.4✈️ 4.8
13.3
Shots · per game
faced 11.4
🏠 17.0✈️ 9.8
4.0
On target · per game
faced 3.8
🏠 5.5✈️ 2.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
1-0
@ Swansea
🚩 4-6
03 Aug
1-0
vs Rhode Island
🚩 3-13
30 Jul
1-2
@ Louisville City
🚩 1-10
02 May
1-1
@ Portsmouth
🚩 9-3
25 Apr
2-1
vs Bristol City
🚩 6-5
22 Apr
2-1
vs Preston
🚩 3-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Birmingham matches
50%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Birmingham fixture, it is right 3 out of 6 (50%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Birmingham by market
Goals (Over/Under)33%1/3
Result67%2/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Birmingham fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Birmingham matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Birmingham prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly