Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Watford
Team profile · ENGLAND: Championship

Watford Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.29
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.20
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
5/5 calls

Watford prediction: Bawler's model rates Watford at 1.29 expected goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Watford fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Watford sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.29 expected goals a game and conceding 1.20. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.40 goals a game against 1.29 expected. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Watford have been correct 100% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 2D 2L
Real goals
0.4 – 1.4
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Watford compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.29
Above average
Goals against
1.20
Tighter than most
Scored1.29
Conceded1.20

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.29 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Watford fixtures (4/4).

📊 Watford in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
🏠 1.3✈️ 1.0
5.2
Corners · per game
give up 5.0
🏠 5.9✈️ 4.4
14.8
Shots · per game
faced 11.6
🏠 17.3✈️ 12.0
4.7
On target · per game
faced 4.0
🏠 5.8✈️ 3.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
1-0
vs Crawley
🚩 12-1
08 Aug
1-0
vs Crawley Town
🚩 12-1
02 May
0-4
vs Coventry
🚩 0-6
25 Apr
1-5
@ Middlesbrough
🚩 3-6
21 Apr
0-3
@ West Brom
🚩 3-4
18 Apr
0-2
vs Sheffield United
🚩 8-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Watford matches
100%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Watford fixture, it is right 5 out of 5 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INFederico RavagliaGKfrom Bologna€7m
INLuca KjerrumgaardSTfrom UdineseUndisclosed
INIker BravoSTfrom UdineseUndisclosed
INMartín PayeroCMfrom UdineseUndisclosed
INJordan ZemuraLMfrom UdineseLoan
INOmar TraoréRBfrom UdineseUndisclosed
INSam WalkerGKfrom Bradford CityUndisclosed
OUTGiorgi ChakvetadzeLMto UdineseUndisclosed
OUTNampalys MendyCMto MetzFree transfer
OUTNathan BaxterGKto Leyton OrientUndisclosed
OUTJorge HurtadoSTto TolimaLoan
OUTThomas InceRMto Tranmere RoversFree transfer
OUTJoshua Mullinsto WealdstoneLoan
OUTAlfie Marriottto ChelmsfordLoan
OUTVivaldo SemedoSTto AlvercaLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Watford prediction markets

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly