Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Millwall

Team profile · ENGLAND: Championship

Millwall Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

6 settled

Goals for

1.41

Expected, per match

Goals against

1.44

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

67%

4/6 calls

Millwall prediction: for Millwall's next match — Bristol City vs Millwall on Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Bristol City are favoured (42%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Millwall sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.41 expected goals a game and conceding 1.44. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.83 goals a game against 1.41 expected. Next up is a trip to Bristol City, where the model has them as underdogs at 27%.

Next match

Away vs Bristol City · Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win

27%

Millwall

Draw

31%

Loss

42%

Bristol City

High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 80%

Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record

1W 3D 2L

Real goals

0.8 – 1.2

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Millwall compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for

1.41

Above average

Goals against

1.44

Leakier than most

Scored1.41

Conceded1.44

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.29 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says

Leaky defensively

Conceding 1.44 xG per match · +0.16 vs league average of 1.28.

Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Millwall fixtures (3/4).

📊 Millwall in numbers

49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.3

Goals · per game

let in 1.1

🏠 1.4✈️ 1.3

5.6

Corners · per game

give up 5.4

🏠 6.2✈️ 5.0

12.8

Shots · per game

faced 12.6

🏠 13.5✈️ 12.0

4.1

On target · per game

faced 3.9

🏠 4.6✈️ 3.7

🗓️ Last 6 games

08 Aug

1-1

@ QPR

🚩 1-6

11 May

0-2

vs Hull

🚩 6-8

08 May

0-0

@ Hull

🚩 5-0

02 May

2-0

vs Oxford Utd

🚩 14-1

24 Apr

1-1

@ Leicester

🚩 12-2

21 Apr

3-1

@ Stoke

🚩 1-11

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Millwall matches

67%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Millwall fixture, it is right 4 out of 6 (67%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Millwall by market

Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4

Result50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Millwall fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Millwall matches.