Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Paris
Team profile · FRANCE: Ligue 1

Paris Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
4
4 settled
Goals for
1.58
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.25
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
50%
2/4 calls

Paris prediction: Bawler's model rates Paris at 1.58 expected goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match across 4 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 50% of the time. They have won 2 of their last 4 settled matches. No Paris fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Paris sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.58 expected goals a game and conceding 1.25. Across 4 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Paris have been correct 50% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 4 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 1D 1L
Real goals
1.5 – 1.3
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Paris compare with the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for
1.58
Above average
Goals against
1.25
Tighter than most
Scored1.58
Conceded1.25

The grey line on each bar is the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average (1.40 scored, 1.50 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.58 xG per match · +0.18 above the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average of 1.40.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.25 xG per match · -0.25 vs league average of 1.50.

📊 Paris in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
🏠 1.6✈️ 1.1
4.4
Corners · per game
give up 5.6
🏠 5.5✈️ 3.2
11.7
Shots · per game
faced 12.4
🏠 13.5✈️ 9.9
4.0
On target · per game
faced 4.0
🏠 4.5✈️ 3.4
🗓️ Last 6 games
17 May
2-1
vs PSG
🚩 3-3
10 May
1-2
@ Rennes
🚩 2-8
03 May
4-0
vs Brest
🚩 7-3
26 Apr
0-1
vs Lille
🚩 7-3
19 Apr
3-1
@ Metz
🚩 5-6
10 Apr
4-1
vs Monaco
🚩 1-11

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Recent matches (last 4)

Transfer activity

INPatrick ZabiDMfrom Reims€25m
INDiego CoppolaCBfrom Brighton & Hove Albion€18m
INPablo PagisAMfrom Lorient€15m
INLuca KoleoshoLWfrom Burnley€14m
INLassine SinayokoSTfrom Auxerre€8m
OUTWillem GeubbelsSTto Lecce€5m
OUTMathieu CafaroLWto NantesFree transfer
OUTAlimami GoryLMto AbhaUndisclosed
OUTMathys TourraineRWBto PauUndisclosed
OUTLohann DoucetDMto Vitoria de GuimaraesUndisclosed
OUTJulien LopezAMto CannesFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Paris prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly