Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Swansea
Team profile · ENGLAND: Championship

Swansea Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
6 settled
Goals for
1.20
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.21
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
5/6 calls

Swansea prediction: for Swansea's next match — Stoke vs Swansea on Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Stoke are favoured (44%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Swansea sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.20 expected goals a game and conceding 1.21. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.50 a game against 1.20 expected. Next up is a trip to Stoke City, where the model has them as underdogs at 22%.

Next match

Away vs Stoke · Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
22%
Swansea
Draw
34%
Loss
44%
Stoke
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 70%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 2D 3L
Real goals
1.5 – 2.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Swansea compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.20
Below average
Goals against
1.21
Tighter than most
Scored1.20
Conceded1.21

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.29 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Swansea fixtures (3/4).

📊 Swansea in numbers

47 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 1.4✈️ 1.0
4.6
Corners · per game
give up 5.3
🏠 5.2✈️ 4.0
12.5
Shots · per game
faced 12.5
🏠 13.7✈️ 11.1
3.8
On target · per game
faced 4.4
🏠 3.7✈️ 3.9
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
0-1
vs Birmingham
🚩 6-4
02 May
3-1
vs Charlton
🚩 10-4
25 Apr
1-1
@ Norwich
🚩 2-5
21 Apr
2-1
@ QPR
🚩 5-4
18 Apr
1-2
vs Southampton
🚩 4-12
11 Apr
1-0
@ Leicester
🚩 2-12

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Swansea matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Swansea fixture, it is right 5 out of 6 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Swansea by market
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4
Result100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Swansea fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Swansea matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Swansea prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly