Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Preston
Team profile · ENGLAND: Championship

Preston Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
5 settled
Goals for
1.11
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.44
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
5/5 calls

Preston prediction: for Preston's next match — Bolton Wanderers vs Preston on Saturday 15 Aug, 11:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Bolton Wanderers are favoured (48%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Preston sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.11 expected goals a game and conceding 1.44. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.60 a game against 1.11 expected. Next up is a trip to Bolton Wanderers, where the model has them as underdogs at 22%.

Next match

Away vs Bolton Wanderers · Saturday 15 Aug, 11:30 UTC

Win
22%
Preston
Draw
30%
Loss
48%
Opponent
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 81%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 1D 2L
Real goals
1.6 – 1.8
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Preston compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.11
Below average
Goals against
1.44
Leakier than most
Scored1.11
Conceded1.44

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.29 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.11 xG per match · -0.18 above the ENGLAND: Championship average of 1.29.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.44 xG per match · +0.16 vs league average of 1.28.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Preston fixtures (3/3).

📊 Preston in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 1.3✈️ 1.2
4.6
Corners · per game
give up 6.3
🏠 5.4✈️ 3.7
10.9
Shots · per game
faced 14.0
🏠 11.2✈️ 10.7
3.6
On target · per game
faced 4.1
🏠 3.4✈️ 3.8
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
2-1
vs Huddersfield
🚩 7-6
08 Aug
2-1
vs Huddersfield Town
🚩 7-6
02 May
1-3
vs Southampton
🚩 10-5
25 Apr
3-2
@ Sheffield United
🚩 5-10
22 Apr
1-2
@ Birmingham
🚩 3-3
18 Apr
0-2
vs West Brom
🚩 8-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Preston matches
100%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Preston fixture, it is right 5 out of 5 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Preston by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%3/3
Result100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Preston fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Preston matches.

Recent matches (last 5)

Preston prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly