Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Villarreal
Team profile · Spain: La Liga

Villarreal Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
7 settled
Goals for
1.64
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.29
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
71%
5/7 calls

Villarreal prediction: Bawler's model rates Villarreal at 1.64 expected goals scored and 1.29 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 71% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No Villarreal fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Villarreal sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.64 expected goals a game and conceding 1.29. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Villarreal have been correct 71% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 1D 3L
Real goals
1.9 – 1.4
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Villarreal compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.64
Above average
Goals against
1.29
Tighter than most
Scored1.64
Conceded1.29

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.64 xG per match · +0.20 above the Spain: La Liga average of 1.44.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.29 xG per match · -0.17 vs league average of 1.46.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Villarreal fixtures (3/4).

📊 Villarreal in numbers

49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
🏠 2.3✈️ 1.1
4.0
Corners · per game
give up 4.6
🏠 5.2✈️ 2.9
12.3
Shots · per game
faced 12.5
🏠 14.9✈️ 9.7
4.4
On target · per game
faced 4.0
🏠 5.7✈️ 3.0
🗓️ Last 6 games
01 Aug
1-3
@ Lens
🚩 -
29 Jul
2-1
vs Como
🚩 -
29 Jul
3-0
@ Al-Ula
🚩 -
24 May
5-1
vs Atlético Madrid
🚩 5-9
17 May
0-2
@ Rayo Vallecano
🚩 9-1
13 May
2-3
vs Sevilla
🚩 6-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Villarreal matches
71%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 7

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Villarreal fixture, it is right 5 out of 7 (71%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Villarreal by market
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4
Result50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Villarreal fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Villarreal matches.

Recent matches (last 7)

Transfer activity

INPéter GulácsiGKfrom RB Leipzig€2m
OUTThiago FernándezLWto LevanteLoan
OUTArnau TenasGKto MallorcaLoan
OUTThomas ParteyCMto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTDiego CondeGKto Real BetisLoan
OUTAlfonso PedrazaLBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTHugo LópezSTto FC AndorraLoan
OUTPau CabanesSTto EldenseFree transfer
OUTDani ParejoCMto Free agentUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Villarreal prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly