Bawler / PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal / Braga
Team profile · PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal

Braga Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
9
8 settled
Goals for
1.45
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.47
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
8/8 calls

Braga prediction: for Braga's next match — Dinamo Minsk vs Braga on Thursday 13 Aug, 17:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Dinamo Minsk are favoured (40%). The model's strongest call is Dinamo Minsk or Draw.

Braga sit close to the Liga Portugal average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.45 expected goals a game and conceding 1.47. Next up is a trip to Dinamo Minsk, where the model has them as underdogs at 32%.

Next match

Away vs Dinamo Minsk · Thursday 13 Aug, 17:00 UTC

Win
32%
Braga
Draw
28%
Loss
40%
Dinamo Minsk
High confidence · Dinamo Minsk or Draw @ 68%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 4D 2L
Real goals
1.8 – 1.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Braga compare with the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average, per match.

Goals for
1.45
Above average
Goals against
1.47
Leakier than most
Scored1.45
Conceded1.47

The grey line on each bar is the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average (1.36 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Braga fixtures (5/5).
Squad availability · Braga vs Dinamo Minsk
Fetching squad availability…

How to read this: known injuries, suspensions, and doubtful players for both squads, pulled from FotMob's official feed. Updates close to kickoff as managers confirm availability.

📊 Braga in numbers

50 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
🏠 2.0✈️ 1.6
5.1
Corners · per game
give up 3.1
🏠 5.2✈️ 5.0
11.3
Shots · per game
faced 9.6
🏠 10.9✈️ 11.6
4.5
On target · per game
faced 3.5
🏠 4.1✈️ 4.8
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Aug
2-2
@ Moreirense
🚩 2-4
06 Aug
1-0
vs Dinamo Minsk
🚩 9-1
16 May
2-2
vs Estrela
🚩 7-1
11 May
2-2
@ Benfica
🚩 2-8
07 May
1-3
@ Freiburg
🚩 8-4
03 May
1-1
vs Estoril
🚩 5-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Braga matches
100%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 8

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Braga fixture, it is right 8 out of 8 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Braga by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%5/5
Result100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Braga fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Braga matches.

Recent matches (last 8)

Transfer activity

INDiogo TravassosRWfrom Sporting CP€5.5m
INAdrian BarisicCBfrom Basel€3.8m
INGabriel SilvaLWfrom Santa Clara€3.5m
INAdrian BajramiCBfrom Luzern€2.8m
INJonas WindSTfrom WolfsburgFree transfer
INDenis HuseinbasicCMfrom 1. FC KölnFree transfer
INSergio BarciaCBfrom Legia Warszawa€1.5m
INBernardofrom Tondela€400k
OUTLukás HornícekGKto Newcastle United€30m
OUTRodrigo ZalazarRWto Sporting CP€30m
OUTIsmaël GharbiAMto LeganesLoan
OUTDjibril SoumaréCMto Stoke City€4m
OUTAmine El OuazzaniSTto AngersLoan
OUTAndré HortaDMto Almeria€1.5m
OUTSamy Jr. MerhegSTto AlvercaUndisclosed
OUTFlorian GrillitschCMto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Braga prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly