Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Getafe
Team profile · Spain: La Liga

Getafe Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
5 settled
Goals for
1.18
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.25
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
40%
2/5 calls

Getafe prediction: for Getafe's next match — Alaves vs Getafe on Saturday 15 Aug, 17:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Alaves are favoured (48%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Getafe sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.18 expected goals a game and conceding 1.25. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Next up is a trip to Alavés, where the model has them as underdogs at 19%.

Next match

Away vs Alaves · Saturday 15 Aug, 17:30 UTC

Win
19%
Getafe
Draw
33%
Loss
48%
Alaves
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 69%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 1D 1L
Real goals
1.2 – 0.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Getafe compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.18
Below average
Goals against
1.25
Tighter than most
Scored1.18
Conceded1.25

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.18 xG per match · -0.25 above the Spain: La Liga average of 1.44.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.25 xG per match · -0.21 vs league average of 1.46.
Tough market: Result
Getafe matches give the model a harder read here — 1/4 (25%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

📊 Getafe in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
🏠 0.9✈️ 0.7
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.6
🏠 4.2✈️ 4.4
9.2
Shots · per game
faced 11.0
🏠 8.9✈️ 9.5
2.8
On target · per game
faced 4.0
🏠 2.9✈️ 2.6
🗓️ Last 6 games
23 May
1-0
vs Osasuna
🚩 2-4
17 May
0-1
@ Elche
🚩 0-4
13 May
3-1
vs Mallorca
🚩 4-3
10 May
0-0
@ Real Oviedo
🚩 9-1
03 May
0-2
vs Rayo Vallecano
🚩 4-1
25 Apr
0-2
vs Barcelona
🚩 6-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Getafe matches
40%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Getafe fixture, it is right 2 out of 5 (40%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INMartín SatrianoSTfrom Lyon€6.5m
INOrel MangalaDMfrom LyonLoan
INAndrés GarcíaRBfrom Aston VillaLoan
INZaid Abner RomeroCBfrom Club Brugge€5m
INMario MartínCMfrom Real Madrid€3.5m
INRamon TerratsAMfrom Espanyol€2.5m
INSebastián BoselliCBfrom River PlateUndisclosed
INSaba SazonovCBfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTJuan IglesiasLWBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTMauro ArambarriCMto River Plate€3m
OUTLuis MillaCMto ComoFree transfer
OUTCoba da CostaLWto Al-Kholod€2m
OUTPeter GonzálezRWto Górnik ZabrzeUndisclosed
OUTDiego RicoLBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTDomingos DuarteCBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTGorka RiveraLMto Unionistas de Salamanca CFLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Getafe prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly