Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Elche
Team profile · Spain: La Liga

Elche Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
7 settled
Goals for
1.29
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.50
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
57%
4/7 calls

Elche prediction: Bawler's model rates Elche at 1.29 expected goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 57% of the time. They have won 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Elche fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Elche sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.29 expected goals a game and conceding 1.50. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Elche have been correct 57% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 2D 2L
Real goals
1.1 – 1.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Elche compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.29
Below average
Goals against
1.50
Leakier than most
Scored1.29
Conceded1.50

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.29 xG per match · -0.15 above the Spain: La Liga average of 1.44.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Elche fixtures (4/5).

📊 Elche in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
🏠 1.6✈️ 1.0
3.8
Corners · per game
give up 4.5
🏠 4.8✈️ 2.8
10.8
Shots · per game
faced 13.8
🏠 13.4✈️ 8.2
3.8
On target · per game
faced 4.8
🏠 4.7✈️ 2.9
🗓️ Last 6 games
23 May
1-1
@ Girona
🚩 1-2
17 May
1-0
vs Getafe
🚩 4-0
12 May
1-2
@ Real Betis
🚩 1-7
09 May
1-1
vs Alaves
🚩 7-3
03 May
1-3
@ Celta Vigo
🚩 2-4
26 Apr
2-1
@ Real Oviedo
🚩 1-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Elche matches
57%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 7

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Elche fixture, it is right 4 out of 7 (57%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 7)

Transfer activity

INFacundo BuonanotteAMfrom Brighton & Hove AlbionLoan
INBuba SangaréCBfrom Roma€4.5m
INFer NiñoSTfrom Burgos CF€4m
INVictor ChustCBfrom CadizUndisclosed
INJavi MorcilloCMfrom Atletico Madrid€1.5m
INGonzalo VillarCMfrom Dinamo ZagrebUndisclosed
OUTÁlvaro RodriguezSTto AFC Bournemouth€25m
OUTAleix FebasCMto Celta VigoUndisclosed
OUTAndré SilvaSTto FC PortoFree transfer
OUTAndré SilvaSTto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTLéo PétrotCBto AnderlechtFree transfer
OUTBema SinaLBto Rayo MajadahondaFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly