Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Osasuna
Team profile · Spain: La Liga

Osasuna Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
7 settled
Goals for
1.40
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.29
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
71%
5/7 calls

Osasuna prediction: Bawler's model rates Osasuna at 1.40 expected goals scored and 1.29 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 71% of the time. They have lost their last 4 settled matches. No Osasuna fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Osasuna sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.40 expected goals a game and conceding 1.29. Recent form is poor — 4 defeats in a row. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Osasuna have been correct 71% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 1D 4L
Real goals
1.3 – 1.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Osasuna compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.40
Below average
Goals against
1.29
Tighter than most
Scored1.40
Conceded1.29

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.29 xG per match · -0.17 vs league average of 1.46.
4-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

📊 Osasuna in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 1.6✈️ 0.7
3.7
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
🏠 4.5✈️ 3.0
11.8
Shots · per game
faced 12.4
🏠 14.8✈️ 8.9
4.0
On target · per game
faced 4.5
🏠 5.3✈️ 2.7
🗓️ Last 6 games
23 May
0-1
@ Getafe
🚩 4-2
17 May
1-2
vs Espanyol
🚩 9-2
12 May
1-2
vs Atlético Madrid
🚩 8-4
08 May
2-3
@ Levante
🚩 1-15
02 May
1-2
vs Barcelona
🚩 3-7
26 Apr
2-1
vs Sevilla
🚩 4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Osasuna matches
71%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 7

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Osasuna fixture, it is right 5 out of 7 (71%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Osasuna by market
Result67%2/3
Goals (Over/Under)67%2/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Osasuna fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Osasuna matches.

Recent matches (last 7)

Transfer activity

INJonathan DubasinRWfrom Sporting Gijon€4m
INRockson YeboahCBfrom IFK Göteborg€3m
INDiego RicoLBfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTVíctor MuñozLWto Liverpool€40m
OUTJuan CruzCBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTSheraldo BeckerSTto Mainz 05€500k
OUTCarlos Lumbrerasto EibarFree transfer
OUTDimitrios Stamatakisto UD IbizaLoan
OUTMartín PedroarenaRWto Arenas GetxoFree transfer
OUTAnder YoldiLWBto UD IbizaFree transfer
OUTJon GarcíaCMto Cultural LeonesaFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Osasuna prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly