Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / Dortmund
Team profile · GERMANY: Bundesliga

Dortmund Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.86
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.33
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
5/5 calls

Dortmund prediction: Bawler's model rates Dortmund at 1.86 expected goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have won 4 of their last 5 settled matches. No Dortmund fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Dortmund defend well, conceding 1.33 expected goals per game — below the Bundesliga average of 1.69. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.60 a game against 1.86 expected. Form is with them: 3 straight wins. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Dortmund have been correct 100% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 0D 1L
Real goals
2.6 – 1.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Dortmund compare with the GERMANY: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
1.86
Above average
Goals against
1.33
Tighter than most
Scored1.86
Conceded1.33

The grey line on each bar is the GERMANY: Bundesliga average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.86 xG per match · +0.20 above the GERMANY: Bundesliga average of 1.67.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.33 xG per match · -0.36 vs league average of 1.69.
On a 3-match winning run
Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.

📊 Dortmund in numbers

45 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 2.4✈️ 1.9
5.0
Corners · per game
give up 4.0
🏠 6.7✈️ 3.4
12.6
Shots · per game
faced 11.0
🏠 14.4✈️ 10.8
4.8
On target · per game
faced 3.9
🏠 5.5✈️ 4.1
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Aug
3-2
@ Arsenal
🚩 -
16 May
2-0
@ Werder Bremen
🚩 5-4
08 May
3-2
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
🚩 6-2
03 May
0-1
@ Borussia Mönchengladbach
🚩 1-1
26 Apr
4-0
vs Freiburg
🚩 5-0
18 Apr
1-2
@ Hoffenheim
🚩 3-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Dortmund matches
100%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Dortmund fixture, it is right 5 out of 5 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Dortmund by market
Result100%2/2
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Dortmund fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Dortmund matches.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INKonstantinos KaretsasRWfrom Genk€30m
INJoane GadouCBfrom Salzburg€20m
INKauã PratesLBfrom Cruzeiro€7m
OUTKarim AdeyemiAMto Barcelona€22m
OUTYan CoutoRWBto ComoLoan
OUTJulian BrandtAMto AjaxFree transfer
OUTCole CampbellRWto Elversberg€6m
OUTJulien DuranvilleRWto Lyon€5m
OUTKjell WätjenAMto FC MidtjyllandUndisclosed
OUTSalih ÖzcanDMto BeşiktaşFree transfer
OUTTaycan EtcibasiSTto Hannover 96€500k

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Dortmund prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly