Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Sevilla

Team profile · Spain: La Liga

Sevilla Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

7 settled

Goals for

1.33

Expected, per match

Goals against

1.48

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

86%

6/7 calls

Sevilla prediction: for Sevilla's next match — Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano on Saturday 15 Aug, 19:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Sevilla win looks most likely (44%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Sevilla sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.33 expected goals a game and conceding 1.48. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.86 goals a game against 1.33 expected. Next up is Rayo Vallecano, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 44%.

Next match

Home vs Rayo Vallecano · Saturday 15 Aug, 19:30 UTC

Win

44%

Sevilla

Draw

32%

Loss

24%

Opponent

High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 78%

Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record

2W 0D 5L

Real goals

0.9 – 1.4

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Sevilla compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for

1.33

Below average

Goals against

1.48

Leakier than most

Scored1.33

Conceded1.48

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says

Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Sevilla fixtures (3/3).

📊 Sevilla in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.2

Goals · per game

let in 1.6

🏠 1.3✈️ 1.2

4.8

Corners · per game

give up 4.5

🏠 4.6✈️ 5.0

11.5

Shots · per game

faced 10.6

🏠 12.1✈️ 10.9

3.6

On target · per game

faced 4.2

🏠 4.0✈️ 3.3

🗓️ Last 6 games

23 May

0-1

@ Celta Vigo

🚩 3-4

17 May

0-1

vs Real Madrid

🚩 4-4

13 May

3-2

@ Villarreal

🚩 4-6

09 May

2-1

vs Espanyol

🚩 4-6

04 May

1-0

vs Real Sociedad

🚩 3-3

26 Apr

1-2

@ Osasuna

🚩 4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Sevilla matches

86%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 7

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Sevilla fixture, it is right 6 out of 7 (86%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Sevilla by market

Result67%2/3

Goals (Over/Under)100%3/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Sevilla fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Sevilla matches.