Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Valencia
Team profile · Spain: La Liga

Valencia Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.30
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.47
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
67%
4/6 calls

Valencia prediction: Bawler's model rates Valencia at 1.30 expected goals scored and 1.47 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 67% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Valencia fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Valencia sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.30 expected goals a game and conceding 1.47. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.17 a game against 1.30 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Valencia have been correct 67% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 1D 1L
Real goals
2.2 – 1.3
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Valencia compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.30
Below average
Goals against
1.47
Leakier than most
Scored1.30
Conceded1.47

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Valencia fixtures (3/4).

📊 Valencia in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
🏠 1.4✈️ 1.0
5.1
Corners · per game
give up 4.6
🏠 6.0✈️ 4.1
11.9
Shots · per game
faced 11.7
🏠 13.8✈️ 10.0
3.2
On target · per game
faced 4.2
🏠 3.4✈️ 3.1
🗓️ Last 6 games
23 May
3-1
vs Barcelona
🚩 7-8
17 May
4-3
@ Real Sociedad
🚩 2-3
14 May
1-1
vs Rayo Vallecano
🚩 5-1
10 May
1-0
@ Athletic Bilbao
🚩 -
02 May
0-2
vs Atlético Madrid
🚩 1-7
25 Apr
2-1
vs Girona
🚩 4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Valencia matches
67%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Valencia fixture, it is right 4 out of 6 (67%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Valencia by market
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4
Result50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Valencia fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Valencia matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INRyunosuke SatoSTfrom FC Tokyo€4m
INJustin De HaasCBfrom FamalicaoFree transfer
INRenzo SaraviaRBfrom Free agentFree transfer
INAliou DiengDMfrom Al Ahly SC€500k
INVíctor FernándezDMfrom LevanteUndisclosed
OUTBaptiste SantamaríaCMto PAOK ThessalonikiFree transfer
OUTCenk ÖzkacarCBto Trabzonspor€1.8m
OUTThierry CorreiaRBto VeneziaFree transfer
OUTEray CömertCBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTRenzo SaraviaRBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTMario Domínguezto ExcelsiorLoan
OUTLucas Núñezto EibarLoan
OUTHamza BellariSTto CastellonFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly