Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Real Sociedad
Team profile · Spain: La Liga

Real Sociedad Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.43
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.48
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
5/5 calls

Real Sociedad prediction: Bawler's model rates Real Sociedad at 1.43 expected goals scored and 1.48 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Real Sociedad fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Real Sociedad sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.43 expected goals a game and conceding 1.48. They have struggled lately, losing 2 of their last 5. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Real Sociedad have been correct 100% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
0W 3D 2L
Real goals
1.6 – 2.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Real Sociedad compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.43
Below average
Goals against
1.48
Leakier than most
Scored1.43
Conceded1.48

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Real Sociedad fixtures (4/4).

📊 Real Sociedad in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
🏠 1.9✈️ 1.2
5.5
Corners · per game
give up 4.5
🏠 6.0✈️ 5.2
12.3
Shots · per game
faced 13.9
🏠 12.9✈️ 11.7
4.6
On target · per game
faced 4.5
🏠 5.0✈️ 4.3
🗓️ Last 6 games
23 May
1-1
@ Espanyol
🚩 5-3
17 May
3-4
vs Valencia
🚩 3-2
14 May
1-1
@ Girona
🚩 3-6
09 May
2-2
vs Real Betis
🚩 4-3
04 May
0-1
@ Sevilla
🚩 3-3
26 Apr
3-3
@ Rayo Vallecano
🚩 4-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Real Sociedad matches
100%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Real Sociedad fixture, it is right 5 out of 5 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INKazunari KitaCBfrom Kyoto Sanga FC€1.5m
INKazunari KitaCBfrom Real Sociedad BUndisclosed
OUTBrais MéndezAMto Columbus Crew€6m
OUTAritz ElustondoRBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTCarlos FernándezSTto Real OviedoUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Real Sociedad prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly