Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Alaves
Team profile · Spain: La Liga

Alaves Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
6 settled
Goals for
1.33
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.47
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
67%
4/6 calls

Alaves prediction: for Alaves's next match — Alaves vs Getafe on Saturday 15 Aug, 17:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Alaves win looks most likely (48%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Alaves sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.33 expected goals a game and conceding 1.47. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.67 a game against 1.33 expected. Next up is Getafe, where the model has them narrowly ahead at 48%.

Next match

Home vs Getafe · Saturday 15 Aug, 17:30 UTC

Win
48%
Alaves
Draw
33%
Loss
19%
Getafe
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 69%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 2D 1L
Real goals
1.7 – 1.3
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Alaves compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.33
Below average
Goals against
1.47
Leakier than most
Scored1.33
Conceded1.47

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

📊 Alaves in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
🏠 1.3✈️ 1.0
5.0
Corners · per game
give up 5.0
🏠 6.2✈️ 4.0
12.2
Shots · per game
faced 12.4
🏠 12.9✈️ 11.4
4.0
On target · per game
faced 4.0
🏠 4.5✈️ 3.6
🗓️ Last 6 games
23 May
1-2
vs Rayo Vallecano
🚩 10-5
17 May
1-0
@ Real Oviedo
🚩 2-5
13 May
1-0
vs Barcelona
🚩 6-4
09 May
1-1
@ Elche
🚩 3-7
02 May
2-4
vs Athletic Bilbao
🚩 4-7
25 Apr
2-1
vs Mallorca
🚩 9-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Alaves matches
67%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Alaves fixture, it is right 4 out of 6 (67%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Alaves by market
Goals (Over/Under)67%2/3
Result67%2/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Alaves fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Alaves matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Alaves prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly