Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Nice
Team profile · FRANCE: Ligue 1

Nice Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.28
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.81
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
50%
3/6 calls

Nice prediction: Bawler's model rates Nice at 1.28 expected goals scored and 1.81 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 50% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Nice fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Nice are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.81 expected goals a game against a Ligue 1 average of 1.50. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.50 goals a game against 1.28 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 2 of their last 5. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Nice have been correct 50% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
0W 3D 3L
Real goals
0.5 – 1.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Nice compare with the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for
1.28
Below average
Goals against
1.81
Leakier than most
Scored1.28
Conceded1.81

The grey line on each bar is the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average (1.40 scored, 1.50 conceded).

What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.81 xG per match · +0.31 vs league average of 1.50.
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
Nice matches give the model a harder read here — 2/5 (40%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

📊 Nice in numbers

43 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.7
🏠 1.1✈️ 0.9
5.1
Corners · per game
give up 5.6
🏠 5.5✈️ 4.7
11.5
Shots · per game
faced 15.0
🏠 13.1✈️ 9.9
3.8
On target · per game
faced 5.2
🏠 4.3✈️ 3.3
🗓️ Last 6 games
22 May
1-3
@ Lens
🚩 -
17 May
0-0
vs Metz
🚩 10-4
10 May
1-2
@ Auxerre
🚩 1-10
02 May
1-1
vs Lens
🚩 7-8
26 Apr
1-1
@ Marseille
🚩 1-7
18 Apr
0-0
@ Lille
🚩 3-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Nice matches
50%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Nice fixture, it is right 3 out of 6 (50%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INGauthier HeinAMfrom Metz€1.7m
INLaurent AbergelDMfrom LorientFree transfer
OUTCharles VanhoutteDMto Feyenoord€5.5m
OUTJérémie BogaSTto Juventus€5m
OUTKevin CarlosSTto CagliariLoan
OUTKail BoudacheAMto LyonFree transfer
OUTTom LouchetCMto PAOK Thessaloniki€2m
OUTAliou BaldéSTto St. GallenUndisclosed
OUTGabin BernardeauRWto Lorient€1m
OUTRares IlieAMto MantovaUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Nice prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly