Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Lorient
Team profile · FRANCE: Ligue 1

Lorient Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
7 settled
Goals for
1.31
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.63
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
57%
4/7 calls

Lorient prediction: Bawler's model rates Lorient at 1.31 expected goals scored and 1.63 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 57% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No Lorient fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Lorient sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.31 expected goals a game and conceding 1.63. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Lorient have been correct 57% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 2D 3L
Real goals
1.6 – 1.3
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Lorient compare with the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for
1.31
Below average
Goals against
1.63
Leakier than most
Scored1.31
Conceded1.63

The grey line on each bar is the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average (1.40 scored, 1.50 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Lorient fixtures (3/4).

📊 Lorient in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
🏠 1.8✈️ 1.0
3.5
Corners · per game
give up 5.4
🏠 3.2✈️ 3.8
11.3
Shots · per game
faced 11.1
🏠 11.9✈️ 10.7
3.9
On target · per game
faced 3.9
🏠 4.4✈️ 3.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
17 May
0-2
vs Le Havre
🚩 5-1
10 May
4-0
@ Metz
🚩 4-7
02 May
2-2
@ PSG
🚩 2-12
26 Apr
2-3
vs Strasbourg
🚩 9-7
18 Apr
2-0
vs Marseille
🚩 1-7
12 Apr
0-2
@ Lyon
🚩 6-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Lorient matches
57%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 7

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Lorient fixture, it is right 4 out of 7 (57%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Lorient by market
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4
Result50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Lorient fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Lorient matches.

Recent matches (last 7)

Transfer activity

INSouleymane FayeLWfrom Sporting CPLoan
INNoah MbambaCMfrom Bayer LeverkusenLoan
INGabin BernardeauRWfrom Nice€1m
INAlec GeorgenRBfrom DunkerqueFree transfer
OUTPablo PagisAMto Paris FC€15m
OUTDarlin YongwaCBto Norwich CityFree transfer
OUTSambou SoumanoSTto ReimsFree transfer
OUTLaurent AbergelDMto NiceFree transfer
OUTIsaac Monnierto SC BastiaLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Lorient prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly