Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Le Havre
Team profile · FRANCE: Ligue 1

Le Havre Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.23
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.42
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
67%
4/6 calls

Le Havre prediction: Bawler's model rates Le Havre at 1.23 expected goals scored and 1.42 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 67% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 1W 3D 1L. No Le Havre fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Le Havre sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.23 expected goals a game and conceding 1.42. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.67 a game against 1.23 expected. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Le Havre have been correct 67% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 3D 2L
Real goals
1.7 – 1.7
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Le Havre compare with the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for
1.23
Below average
Goals against
1.42
Tighter than most
Scored1.23
Conceded1.42

The grey line on each bar is the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average (1.40 scored, 1.50 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.23 xG per match · -0.17 above the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average of 1.40.

📊 Le Havre in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.9
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 1.2✈️ 0.7
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
🏠 4.8✈️ 3.7
10.9
Shots · per game
faced 13.0
🏠 12.0✈️ 9.9
3.6
On target · per game
faced 4.2
🏠 3.9✈️ 3.4
🗓️ Last 6 games
17 May
2-0
@ Lorient
🚩 1-5
10 May
0-1
vs Marseille
🚩 3-0
03 May
1-1
@ Lille
🚩 5-14
26 Apr
4-4
vs Metz
🚩 6-4
18 Apr
1-1
@ Angers
🚩 3-4
12 Apr
1-1
@ Nice
🚩 2-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Le Havre matches
67%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Le Havre fixture, it is right 4 out of 6 (67%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Le Havre by market
Result67%2/3
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Le Havre fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Le Havre matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INAmir RichardsonCMfrom FiorentinaLoan
INJosh MajaSTfrom West Bromwich AlbionFree transfer
INJunior MwangaCMfrom Strasbourg€1.5m
INTimothée PembéléRBfrom SunderlandFree transfer
INSota NakamuraAMfrom Sanfrecce HiroshimaLoan
INKaito MizutaAMfrom RW EssenFree transfer
INVincent SassoCBfrom DunkerqueFree transfer
INJoan TincrèsSTfrom MonacoUndisclosed
OUTArouna SanganteCBto SevillaFree transfer
OUTYassine KechtaAMto LeganesFree transfer
OUTIssa SoumaréSTto RennesFree transfer
OUTKenny QuetantSTto Werder BremenFree transfer
OUTGautier LlorisCBto BrestFree transfer
OUTLoïc NégoRBto Omonia NicosiaFree transfer
OUTNoam Jacquetto NancyLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Le Havre prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly