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Leeds
Premier League · Team page

Leeds

FormDDLWD
60%
Our hit rate on LEE
15
Forecasts settled
16th
Model strength rank

Fixture run · next 1

Colour = model difficulty for Leeds
ARS (A)
10 Oct

Season averages · per game

Bar = vs Premier League average · 49 matches
12.5lge avg 13.1
Shots per game
4.0lge avg 4.5
Shots on target per game
1.4lge avg 1.5
Goals scored per game
1.4lge avg 1.3
Goals conceded per game
1.4lge avg 1.5
xG for per game
1.4lge avg 1.3
xG against per game
47%lge avg 50%
Possession
4.3lge avg 5.1
Corners per game
Next fixture · Sat 10 Oct 12:30
ArsenalArsenalvsLeedsLeeds
Medium confidence · Arsenal to win63%
Leeds win15%
Draw23%
Arsenal win63%
Most likely score1-0 · 13%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to scoreNo · 53%
Publishes 07:30 UK · locks at lineupsFull match preview →
Key players · attacking outputPer 90 · this season
LeedsDominic Calvert-LewinFWD · 0.67 xG per 900.67
LeedsJayden BogleMID · 0.29 xG per 900.29
LeedsAo TanakaMID · 0.25 xG per 900.25
Our record on Leeds · settled in publicFull track record →
20 SeptLeeds v Crystal PalaceOver 1.5 goals81%LOST
14 SeptLeeds v NewcastleOver 1.5 goals81%WON
9 SeptChelsea v LeedsOver 1.5 goals80%WON
5 SeptBrighton v LeedsOver 1.5 goals79%WON
LeedsLeeds· continues from the hero above49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded · updated daily

Form · last 6

Newest first · click a tile for the settled forecast
DRAW0–0vs Crystal Palace20 SeptWIN4–1vs Newcastle14 SeptLOSS3–6@ Chelsea9 SeptDRAW1–1@ Brighton5 SeptDRAW1–1vs Brentford30 AugWIN1–0@ Nott'm Forest25 Aug
At home · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.61.1
Shots14.211.4
On target4.23.7
Corners5.54.3
Away · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.31.7
Shots11.213.5
On target3.84.6
Corners3.45.3
At home · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.80.3
Shots7.24.9
On target1.91.5
Corners2.62.1
All 22 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.50.5
Shots4.66.2
On target1.72.2
Corners1.72.4
21 of the 27 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
At home · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.80.8
Shots7.06.5
On target2.32.2
Corners2.82.1
All 22 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.51.2
Shots6.28.1
On target1.92.7
Corners1.73.4
21 of the 27 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.

Squad · 24 players

Coach Daniel Farke · ★ = model's key threats · from FotMob, 23 Sept 2026
Goalkeepers
1James Trafford23 · ENG
16Michael Zetterer31 · GER
21Alex Cairns33 · ENG
Defenders
6Joe Rodon28 · WAL
15Jaka Bijol27 · SVN
24James Justin28 · ENG
26Melvin Bard25 · FRA
+1 more
30Nico Elvedi29 · SUI
Midfielders
2Jayden Bogle★26 · ENG
4Ethan Ampadu26 · WAL
7Daniel James28 · WAL
8Sean Longstaff28 · ENG
+4 more
11Brenden Aaronson25 · USA
18Anton Stach27 · GER
22Ao Tanaka★28 · JPN
44Ilia Gruev26 · BUL
Forwards
Mateo Joseph22 · ESP
10Harry Wilson29 · WAL
14Lukas Nmecha27 · GER
19Noah Okafor26 · SUI
+1 more

Transfer desk · this window

All 21 moves →
INJean-Mattéo BahoyaLW · from Eintracht FrankfurtLoan2 Sept
OUTSam ChambersLW · to Northampton TownLoan2 Sept
INMelvin BardLWB · from NiceLoan1 Sept
OUTWilfried GnontoLW · to FiorentinaLoan1 Sept
OUTLargie RamazaniLW · to BurnleyLoan1 Sept

Common questions

Who do Leeds play next?

Leeds play Arsenal away on Sat 10 Oct 12:30 UK. The published call is arsenal to win, at 63%. Read the full match preview

What is the model's Leeds v Arsenal call?

medium confidence: Arsenal to win, at 63%. The forecast is published at 07:30 UK and locked when the lineups land, so it can be graded afterwards. See every market for this fixture

How accurate has Bawler been on Leeds?

9 of 15 settled Leeds forecasts were right (60%). Every one was published before kickoff and graded in public. See the full track record

What are Leeds averaging this season?

12.5 shots and 1.4 goals a game, conceding 1.4, counted over 49 competitive matches with friendlies excluded — every one a counted match result, not a projection. Compare it with the rest of the league

Who have Leeds signed and sold?

21 confirmed moves in the current window. The newest in: Jean-Mattéo Bahoya, Melvin Bard. The newest out: Sam Chambers, Wilfried Gnonto, Largie Ramazani. 2 of this club's moves have a written report. Follow the transfer desk

Leeds moves we wrote up

2 written up · 19 more confirmed in the windowTransfer desk →
In
Tarik MuharemovicCB · from Sassuolo€40m17 Jul
Out

Premier League table

FotMob, 28 Sept 2026
#TeamPWDLGF-GAGDPts
1Man City550013-5+815
2Arsenal54018-4+412
3Brighton531116-5+1110
4Brentford523010-4+69
5Leeds52307-3+49
6Liverpool52307-4+39
7Everton52306-3+39
8Hull52216-4+28
9Newcastle52219-908
10Chelsea521210-12-27
11Ipswich52037-11-46
12Man United51228-805
13Nottm Forest51224-5-15
14Sunderland51136-10-44
15Crystal Palace51136-11-54
16Aston Villa51134-9-54
17Bournemouth50326-8-23
18Coventry51041-10-93
19Fulham50235-8-32
20Tottenham50232-8-62