Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Toulouse
Team profile · FRANCE: Ligue 1

Toulouse Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.36
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.58
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
80%
4/5 calls

Toulouse prediction: Bawler's model rates Toulouse at 1.36 expected goals scored and 1.58 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 80% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No Toulouse fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Toulouse sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.36 expected goals a game and conceding 1.58. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Toulouse have been correct 80% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 1D 2L
Real goals
1.2 – 1.4
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Toulouse compare with the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for
1.36
Below average
Goals against
1.58
Leakier than most
Scored1.36
Conceded1.58

The grey line on each bar is the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average (1.40 scored, 1.50 conceded).

📊 Toulouse in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
🏠 1.5✈️ 1.3
4.4
Corners · per game
give up 5.0
🏠 5.1✈️ 3.7
12.5
Shots · per game
faced 11.9
🏠 14.7✈️ 10.3
4.2
On target · per game
faced 3.9
🏠 4.8✈️ 3.6
🗓️ Last 6 games
17 May
0-0
@ Nantes
🚩 2-2
10 May
2-1
vs Lyon
🚩 7-8
03 May
2-1
@ Strasbourg
🚩 3-8
25 Apr
2-2
vs Monaco
🚩 4-2
17 Apr
2-3
@ Lens
🚩 1-14
12 Apr
0-4
vs Lille
🚩 4-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Toulouse matches
80%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Toulouse fixture, it is right 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Toulouse by market
Goals (Over/Under)67%2/3
Result100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Toulouse fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Toulouse matches.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INChrist TapéCBfrom AC Horsens€2.5m
INSion OppongLWfrom BrommapojkarnaUndisclosed
INIsmail DialloRBfrom DijonFree transfer
OUTEmersonnSTto Ipswich Town€28m
OUTCharlie CresswellCBto RennesLoan
OUTWarren KamanziRMto Malmö FFFree transfer
OUTIbrahim CissokoLWto PEC ZwolleUndisclosed
OUTEdhy ZulianiSTto VVV-VenloUndisclosed
OUTKjetil HaugGKto Go Ahead EaglesFree transfer
OUTÁlex DominguezGKto PonferradinaFree transfer
OUTSaïd HamulicSTto Wisła PłockFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Toulouse prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly