Bawler / France: Ligue 1 / Lens
Team profile · France: Ligue 1

Lens Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.99
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.33
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
5/6 calls

Lens prediction: Bawler's model rates Lens at 1.99 expected goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 83% of the time. They have won 4 of their last 5 settled matches. No Lens fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Lens sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.99 expected goals a game and conceding 1.33. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.67 a game against 1.99 expected. Recent form is good, with 4 wins in their last 5. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Lens have been correct 83% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
5W 0D 1L
Real goals
2.7 – 1.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Lens compare with the France: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for
1.99
Above average
Goals against
1.33
Tighter than most
Scored1.99
Conceded1.33

The grey line on each bar is the France: Ligue 1 average (1.79 scored, 1.41 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.99 xG per match · +0.20 above the France: Ligue 1 average of 1.79.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Lens fixtures (4/5).

📊 Lens in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.0
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
🏠 2.0✈️ 1.9
6.2
Corners · per game
give up 4.2
🏠 6.8✈️ 5.7
16.4
Shots · per game
faced 11.2
🏠 18.2✈️ 14.7
5.6
On target · per game
faced 3.5
🏠 6.4✈️ 4.7
🗓️ Last 6 games
01 Aug
3-1
vs Villarreal
🚩 -
28 Jul
0-1
vs Famalicao
🚩 -
28 Jul
3-0
@ Crystal Palace
🚩 -
22 May
3-1
vs Nice
🚩 -
17 May
4-0
@ Lyon
🚩 8-20
13 May
0-2
vs PSG
🚩 6-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Lens matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Lens fixture, it is right 5 out of 6 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INFranjo IvanovicSTfrom BenficaLoan
INYacine TitraouiDMfrom Sporting Charleroi€8m
INMichal SkórasLWBfrom Gent€6m
INMichaël CuisanceAMfrom Hertha BSC€3.5m
INSaud AbdulhamidRWBfrom Roma€3.5m
INMaik NawrockiCBfrom Celtic€2.5m
INThorgan HazardAMfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTMamadou SangaréDMto Brentford€48m
OUTFacundo MedinaCBto Marseille€18m
OUTMalang SarrCBto Neom SCFree transfer
OUTAllan Saint-MaximinLWto Charlotte FCFree transfer
OUTAnass ZarouryLWto PanathinaikosUndisclosed
OUTJeremy AgbonifoRWto HäckenLoan
OUTJeremy AgbonifoRWto Jagiellonia BiałystokLoan
OUTWesley SaïdAMto Al-ShamalFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Lens prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly