Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Lille
Team profile · FRANCE: Ligue 1

Lille Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.62
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.43
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
33%
2/6 calls

Lille prediction: Bawler's model rates Lille at 1.62 expected goals scored and 1.43 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 33% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Lille fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Lille sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.62 expected goals a game and conceding 1.43. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.67 goals a game against 1.62 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Lille have been correct 33% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 1D 2L
Real goals
0.7 – 0.8
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Lille compare with the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for
1.62
Above average
Goals against
1.43
Tighter than most
Scored1.62
Conceded1.43

The grey line on each bar is the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average (1.40 scored, 1.50 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.62 xG per match · +0.22 above the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average of 1.40.

📊 Lille in numbers

46 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.1
🏠 1.5✈️ 1.4
5.8
Corners · per game
give up 3.8
🏠 6.7✈️ 5.0
13.4
Shots · per game
faced 9.2
🏠 14.4✈️ 12.4
4.6
On target · per game
faced 3.3
🏠 4.9✈️ 4.3
🗓️ Last 6 games
17 May
0-2
vs Auxerre
🚩 4-2
10 May
1-0
@ Monaco
🚩 2-5
03 May
1-1
vs Le Havre
🚩 14-5
26 Apr
1-0
@ Paris
🚩 3-7
18 Apr
0-0
vs Nice
🚩 5-3
12 Apr
4-0
@ Toulouse
🚩 2-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Lille matches
33%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Lille fixture, it is right 2 out of 6 (33%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INBasar ÖnalLWBfrom NEC Nijmegen€13m
INLoun SrdanovicRBfrom Servette€3m
INTanguy NianzouCBfrom SevillaFree transfer
OUTUgo RaghouberDMto Burnley€5m
OUTAndré GomesCMto Columbus CrewFree transfer
OUTThomas MeunierRBto SunderlandFree transfer
OUTVincent BurletLWto CracoviaUndisclosed
OUTAïssa MandiCBto LevanteFree transfer
OUTRafael FernandesCBto MaritimoLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Lille prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly