Bawler / TURKEY: Super Lig / Fenerbahce
Team profile · TURKEY: Super Lig

Fenerbahce Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
9
8 settled
Goals for
1.53
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.14
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
88%
7/8 calls

Fenerbahce prediction: for Fenerbahce's next match — Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce on Saturday 15 Aug, 18:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Genclerbirligi are favoured (34%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Fenerbahce sit close to the Super Lig average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.53 expected goals a game and conceding 1.14. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.88 a game against 1.53 expected. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Next up is a trip to Genclerbirligi, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 33%.

Next match

Away vs Genclerbirligi · Saturday 15 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Win
33%
Fenerbahce
Draw
33%
Loss
34%
Opponent
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 75%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
5W 2D 1L
Real goals
1.9 – 1.1
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Fenerbahce compare with the TURKEY: Super Lig average, per match.

Goals for
1.53
Above average
Goals against
1.14
Tighter than most
Scored1.53
Conceded1.14

The grey line on each bar is the TURKEY: Super Lig average (1.40 scored, 1.30 conceded).

What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.14 xG per match · -0.16 vs league average of 1.30.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Fenerbahce fixtures (4/5).

📊 Fenerbahce in numbers

46 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.0
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
🏠 2.0✈️ 2.0
6.4
Corners · per game
give up 4.5
🏠 6.7✈️ 6.1
16.3
Shots · per game
faced 10.9
🏠 18.5✈️ 14.2
6.2
On target · per game
faced 3.4
🏠 6.8✈️ 5.6
🗓️ Last 6 games
11 Aug
1-0
@ SK Sturm Graz
🚩 6-7
05 Aug
2-0
vs SK Sturm Graz
🚩 4-2
17 May
3-3
vs Eyupspor
🚩 6-0
09 May
3-0
@ Konyaspor
🚩 2-6
02 May
3-1
vs Basaksehir
🚩 10-2
26 Apr
0-3
@ Galatasaray
🚩 4-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Fenerbahce matches
88%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 8

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Fenerbahce fixture, it is right 7 out of 8 (88%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Fenerbahce by market
Goals (Over/Under)80%4/5
Result100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Fenerbahce fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Fenerbahce matches.

Recent matches (last 8)

Transfer activity

INMason GreenwoodRWfrom Marseille€40m
INSidiki CherifSTfrom Angers€18m
INVedat MuriqiSTfrom Mallorca€16m
INNathan AkéCBfrom Manchester CityUndisclosed
INRomelu LukakuSTfrom Napoli€6m
OUTYigit FidanCBto MuglasporLoan
OUTEmre MorAMto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTEngin Can Bitergeto AdanasporUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Fenerbahce prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly