Nice vs Strasbourg prediction — Ligue 1 · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00 UK

Ligue 1 · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00 UK
33Nice win25Draw42Strasbourg win
Full time
2–1

How it finished

Nice beat Strasbourg 2–1. Nice had 11 shots (6 on target) to Strasbourg's 11 (3), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.5.

NiceFull-time statsStrasbourg
45%Possession55%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.5
11Shots11
6Shots on target3
10Shots inside box4
4Big chances0
2Corners3
2Saves4
3Fouls8
5Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
We predicted
1–2
Likeliest score if Strasbourg win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.4v1.6
3.1 in total
Both teams score
61%
Yes
3+ goals
59%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

NiceNiceStrasbourgStrasbourg
1.4Goals1.6
20.7Shots15.6
4.3On target6.1
7.2Corners2.0
NiceNiceStrasbourgStrasbourg
0.7Goals0.7
8.9Shots6.9
1.8On target2.7
3.4Corners0.9
NiceNiceStrasbourgStrasbourg
0.7Goals0.9
11.8Shots8.6
2.5On target3.5
3.8Corners1.1

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals81%
Strasbourg to score80%
Nice to score76%
Goal before half-time76%
3 goals or fewer63%

First half — what we expected

Nice
50%
to score before half-time
Strasbourg
52%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

NiceNiceStrasbourgStrasbourg
61%8+ shots39%
40%10+ shots21%
51%2+ shots on target71%
14%4+ shots on target29%
80%2+ corners24%
42%4+ corners<10%

League position

Strasbourg in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2026Strasbourg 0–2 Nice
Apr 2026Strasbourg 3–1 Nice
Jan 2026Nice 1–1 Strasbourg
Apr 2025Strasbourg 2–2 Nice
Nov 2024Nice 2–1 Strasbourg
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Nice form →Strasbourg form →

Common questions

Who won Nice vs Strasbourg?

Nice beat Strasbourg 2–1. Nice had 11 shots (6 on target) to Strasbourg's 11 (3), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Nice vs Strasbourg?

Nice 2–1 Strasbourg, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nice 33%, the draw 25% and Strasbourg 42%.

What were the stats in Nice vs Strasbourg?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.5, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 10–4, Big chances 4–0, Corners 2–3, Saves 2–4, Fouls 3–8, Offsides 5–2, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Nice vs Strasbourg?

Yes — both Nice and Strasbourg scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.