Nice beat Strasbourg 2–1. Nice had 11 shots (6 on target) to Strasbourg's 11 (3), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.5.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Nice beat Strasbourg 2–1. Nice had 11 shots (6 on target) to Strasbourg's 11 (3), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.5.
Nice 2–1 Strasbourg, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nice 33%, the draw 25% and Strasbourg 42%.
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.5, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 10–4, Big chances 4–0, Corners 2–3, Saves 2–4, Fouls 3–8, Offsides 5–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Nice and Strasbourg scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.