Bawler / ITALY: Serie A / Como
Team profile · ITALY: Serie A

Como Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
7 settled
Goals for
1.52
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.01
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
71%
5/7 calls

Como prediction: Bawler's model rates Como at 1.52 expected goals scored and 1.01 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 71% of the time. They have won 4 of their last 5 settled matches. No Como fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Como sit close to the Serie A average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.52 expected goals a game and conceding 1.01. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.00 a game against 1.52 expected. Form is with them: 4 straight wins. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Como have been correct 71% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
5W 1D 1L
Real goals
2.0 – 0.4
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Como compare with the ITALY: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
1.52
Below average
Goals against
1.01
Tighter than most
Scored1.52
Conceded1.01

The grey line on each bar is the ITALY: Serie A average (1.63 scored, 1.02 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 83% of the time on Como fixtures (5/6).
On a 4-match winning run
Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.

📊 Como in numbers

41 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.8
Goals · per game
let in 0.8
🏠 1.9✈️ 1.6
4.5
Corners · per game
give up 3.2
🏠 5.0✈️ 4.0
14.4
Shots · per game
faced 9.0
🏠 16.7✈️ 12.2
5.1
On target · per game
faced 3.1
🏠 6.3✈️ 3.9
🗓️ Last 6 games
31 Jul
3-2
@ Famalicao
🚩 -
29 Jul
1-2
@ Villarreal
🚩 -
29 Jul
3-1
vs Al-Ula
🚩 -
24 May
4-1
@ Cremonese
🚩 4-2
17 May
1-0
vs Parma
🚩 15-2
10 May
1-0
@ Verona
🚩 7-7

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Como matches
71%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 7

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Como fixture, it is right 5 out of 7 (71%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 7)

Transfer activity

INNico PazAMfrom Real Madrid€60m
INTrevoh ChalobahCBfrom Chelsea€30m
INYan CoutoRWBfrom Borussia DortmundLoan
INÁlvaro MorataSTfrom Milan€12m
INKaikiLBfrom CruzeiroLoan
INMattia LiberaliAMfrom Catanzaro€6m
INLuis MillaCMfrom GetafeFree transfer
INAndrés CuencaCBfrom Barcelona€500k
OUTYannik EngelhardtDMto Freiburg€7m
OUTStefan PoschCBto Mainz 05€4m
OUTPatrick CutroneSTto Monza€4m
OUTMërgim VojvodaRWto Udinese€1.5m
OUTFellipe JackCBto CremoneseLoan
OUTTommaso CassandroCBto PalermoUndisclosed
OUTSergi RobertoDMto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTAlberto MorenoLBto Free agentUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Como prediction markets

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly