Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Sassuolo
Team profile · Italy: Serie A

Sassuolo Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.11
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.48
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
40%
2/5 calls

Sassuolo prediction: Bawler's model rates Sassuolo at 1.11 expected goals scored and 1.48 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 40% of the time. They have lost their last 3 settled matches. No Sassuolo fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Sassuolo sit close to the Serie A average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.11 expected goals a game and conceding 1.48. Recent form is poor — 3 defeats in a row. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Sassuolo have been correct 40% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 1D 3L
Real goals
1.2 – 1.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Sassuolo compare with the Italy: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
1.11
Below average
Goals against
1.48
Leakier than most
Scored1.11
Conceded1.48

The grey line on each bar is the Italy: Serie A average (1.20 scored, 1.36 conceded).

What the data says
Tough market: Result
Sassuolo matches give the model a harder read here — 1/3 (33%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.
3-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

📊 Sassuolo in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 1.3✈️ 1.1
3.8
Corners · per game
give up 4.9
🏠 3.8✈️ 3.7
10.7
Shots · per game
faced 14.4
🏠 10.7✈️ 10.7
3.7
On target · per game
faced 5.0
🏠 3.7✈️ 3.8
🗓️ Last 6 games
24 May
0-1
@ Parma
🚩 1-1
17 May
2-3
vs Lecce
🚩 2-8
08 May
1-2
@ Torino
🚩 5-7
03 May
2-0
vs AC Milan
🚩 2-3
26 Apr
0-0
@ Fiorentina
🚩 4-7
17 Apr
2-1
vs Como
🚩 5-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Sassuolo matches
40%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Sassuolo fixture, it is right 2 out of 5 (40%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Sassuolo by market
Result33%1/3
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Sassuolo fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Sassuolo matches.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INBenja DomínguezLWfrom BolognaLoan
INArijanet MuricGKfrom Ipswich Town€7m
INSebastian WalukiewiczRBfrom Torino€5m
INKieron BowieSTfrom Hellas VeronaLoan
INVasilije AdzicAMfrom JuventusLoan
OUTTarik MuharemovicCBto Leeds United€40m
OUTRuanCBto Atletico MG€3.5m
OUTSamuele MulattieriSTto Hellas VeronaLoan
OUTJustin KumiDMto Juve StabiaLoan
OUTGioele ZacchiGKto BresciaLoan
OUTBorna Knezovicto CasaranoLoan
OUTKevin Brunoto FC VadoLoan
OUTKevin Leonito ArezzoLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Sassuolo prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly