Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Cagliari
Team profile · Italy: Serie A

Cagliari Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.04
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.51
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
60%
3/5 calls

Cagliari prediction: Bawler's model rates Cagliari at 1.04 expected goals scored and 1.51 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 60% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Cagliari fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Cagliari sit close to the Serie A average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.04 expected goals a game and conceding 1.51. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Cagliari have been correct 60% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 0D 3L
Real goals
0.8 – 1.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Cagliari compare with the Italy: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
1.04
Below average
Goals against
1.51
Leakier than most
Scored1.04
Conceded1.51

The grey line on each bar is the Italy: Serie A average (1.20 scored, 1.36 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.04 xG per match · -0.16 above the Italy: Serie A average of 1.20.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.51 xG per match · +0.15 vs league average of 1.36.

📊 Cagliari in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
🏠 1.2✈️ 0.9
3.8
Corners · per game
give up 5.2
🏠 4.2✈️ 3.4
10.9
Shots · per game
faced 12.9
🏠 10.7✈️ 11.1
3.5
On target · per game
faced 4.6
🏠 3.4✈️ 3.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
24 May
2-1
@ AC Milan
🚩 5-5
17 May
2-1
vs Torino
🚩 5-1
09 May
0-2
vs Udinese
🚩 8-4
03 May
0-0
@ Bologna
🚩 2-7
27 Apr
3-2
vs Atalanta
🚩 4-6
17 Apr
0-3
@ Inter Milan
🚩 9-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Cagliari matches
60%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Cagliari fixture, it is right 3 out of 5 (60%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INJacopo FazziniLWfrom FiorentinaLoan
INDaniel MaldiniSTfrom AtalantaLoan
INRaphael KoflerCBfrom SüdtirolLoan
INSebastiano EspositoSTfrom Inter€4m
INKevin CarlosSTfrom NiceLoan
INHarry WinksDMfrom Leicester CityUndisclosed
INAlessando RomanoCMfrom RomaLoan
INKingstone MutandwaSTfrom RiedUndisclosed
OUTGianluca GaetanoCMto Atalanta€12m
OUTZito LuvumboRWto MallorcaLoan
OUTOthniël RaterinkRBto ADO Den HaagLoan
OUTNik PrelecSTto Oxford UnitedUndisclosed
OUTDavide VeroliCBto SüdtirolLoan
OUTAndrea BelottiSTto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTKingstone MutandwaSTto Ried€750k
OUTMateusz WieteskaCBto WieczystaUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Cagliari prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly