Bawler / Italy: Serie A / AC Milan
Team profile · Italy: Serie A

AC Milan Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.51
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.18
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
67%
4/6 calls

AC Milan prediction: Bawler's model rates AC Milan at 1.51 expected goals scored and 1.18 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 67% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No AC Milan fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

AC Milan carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.51 expected goals per game against a Serie A average of 1.20. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on AC Milan have been correct 67% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 1D 3L
Real goals
1.3 – 1.5
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How AC Milan compare with the Italy: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
1.51
Above average
Goals against
1.18
Tighter than most
Scored1.51
Conceded1.18

The grey line on each bar is the Italy: Serie A average (1.20 scored, 1.36 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.51 xG per match · +0.31 above the Italy: Serie A average of 1.20.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.18 xG per match · -0.18 vs league average of 1.36.

📊 AC Milan in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 0.9
🏠 1.3✈️ 1.5
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.3
🏠 5.0✈️ 3.6
13.2
Shots · per game
faced 11.5
🏠 16.1✈️ 10.4
4.4
On target · per game
faced 3.7
🏠 4.9✈️ 3.8
🗓️ Last 6 games
24 May
1-2
vs Cagliari
🚩 5-5
17 May
2-1
@ Genoa
🚩 4-4
10 May
2-3
vs Atalanta
🚩 2-2
03 May
0-2
@ Sassuolo
🚩 3-2
26 Apr
0-0
vs Juventus
🚩 1-3
19 Apr
1-0
@ Verona
🚩 1-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on AC Milan matches
67%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a AC Milan fixture, it is right 4 out of 6 (67%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on AC Milan by market
Result67%2/3
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on AC Milan fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for AC Milan matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

AC Milan prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly