Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Udinese
Team profile · Italy: Serie A

Udinese Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.17
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.28
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
33%
2/6 calls

Udinese prediction: Bawler's model rates Udinese at 1.17 expected goals scored and 1.28 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 33% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Udinese fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Udinese sit close to the Serie A average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.17 expected goals a game and conceding 1.28. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.67 goals a game against 1.17 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Udinese have been correct 33% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 1D 3L
Real goals
0.7 – 0.5
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Udinese compare with the Italy: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
1.17
Below average
Goals against
1.28
Tighter than most
Scored1.17
Conceded1.28

The grey line on each bar is the Italy: Serie A average (1.20 scored, 1.36 conceded).

What the data says
Tough market: Result
Udinese matches give the model a harder read here — 1/4 (25%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

📊 Udinese in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 0.9✈️ 1.4
4.5
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
🏠 4.7✈️ 4.2
11.5
Shots · per game
faced 13.2
🏠 12.8✈️ 10.2
3.8
On target · per game
faced 3.9
🏠 3.9✈️ 3.8
🗓️ Last 6 games
24 May
0-1
@ Napoli
🚩 3-3
17 May
0-1
vs Cremonese
🚩 5-5
09 May
2-0
@ Cagliari
🚩 4-8
02 May
2-0
vs Torino
🚩 5-2
27 Apr
3-3
@ Lazio
🚩 5-4
18 Apr
0-1
vs Parma
🚩 10-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Udinese matches
33%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Udinese fixture, it is right 2 out of 6 (33%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Udinese by market
Result25%1/4
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Udinese fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Udinese matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INIdrissa GueyeSTfrom Metz€6m
INAlessandro ZanoliRMfrom Napoli€5m
INNicolò ZanioloSTfrom Galatasaray€5m
INUnai GómezAMfrom Athletic Club€4.5m
INGiorgi ChakvetadzeLMfrom WatfordUndisclosed
INMërgim VojvodaRWfrom Como€1.5m
OUTArthur AttaCMto Fiorentina€25m
OUTLuca KjerrumgaardSTto WatfordUndisclosed
OUTSimone PafundiAMto CatanzaroLoan
OUTIker BravoSTto WatfordUndisclosed
OUTRazvan SavaGKto Universitatea CraiovaUndisclosed
OUTMartín PayeroCMto WatfordUndisclosed
OUTJordan ZemuraLMto WatfordLoan
OUTAlessandro NunzianteGKto ArezzoLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Udinese prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly