Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Genoa
Team profile · Italy: Serie A

Genoa Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.30
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.33
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
33%
2/6 calls

Genoa prediction: Bawler's model rates Genoa at 1.30 expected goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 33% of the time. They have lost 4 of their last 5 settled matches. No Genoa fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Genoa sit close to the Serie A average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.30 expected goals a game and conceding 1.33. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.17 goals a game against 1.30 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 4 of their last 5. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Genoa have been correct 33% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
0W 1D 5L
Real goals
0.2 – 1.5
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Genoa compare with the Italy: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
1.30
Above average
Goals against
1.33
Tighter than most
Scored1.30
Conceded1.33

The grey line on each bar is the Italy: Serie A average (1.20 scored, 1.36 conceded).

📊 Genoa in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 1.2✈️ 1.0
3.7
Corners · per game
give up 4.9
🏠 3.6✈️ 3.7
11.4
Shots · per game
faced 12.8
🏠 12.1✈️ 10.8
3.8
On target · per game
faced 4.3
🏠 3.9✈️ 3.6
🗓️ Last 6 games
24 May
0-1
@ Lecce
🚩 6-1
17 May
1-2
vs AC Milan
🚩 4-4
10 May
0-0
@ Fiorentina
🚩 3-4
02 May
0-0
@ Atalanta
🚩 2-6
26 Apr
0-2
vs Como
🚩 2-3
19 Apr
2-1
@ Pisa
🚩 5-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Genoa matches
33%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Genoa fixture, it is right 2 out of 6 (33%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Genoa by market
Result67%2/3
Goals (Over/Under)0%0/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Genoa fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Genoa matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INHamed TraorèAMfrom MarseilleLoan
INTommaso BaldanziAMfrom Roma€9.5m
INLorenzo ColomboSTfrom Milan€7m
INDjibril SowCMfrom Sevilla€4m
INMario MitajLBfrom Al IttihadLoan
INFranz-Ethan MeichtryRWfrom Thun€3.5m
INSamuel WiafeCMfrom Modena€2.5m
INElias HavelSTfrom Hartberg€2m
OUTJeff EkhatorSTto Juventus€16m
OUTPatrizio MasiniDMto FrosinoneLoan
OUTRuslan MalinovskyCMto TrabzonsporFree transfer
OUTSeydou FiniRWto FrosinoneLoan
OUTGabriele CalvaniCBto FrosinoneLoan
OUTAlessandro VogliaccoCBto CremoneseUndisclosed
OUTNicola LealiGKto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTCaleb EkubanSTto Free agentUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Genoa prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly