Bawler / England: Premier League / Bournemouth
Team profile · England: Premier League

Bournemouth Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.55
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.62
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
80%
4/5 calls

Bournemouth prediction: Bawler's model rates Bournemouth at 1.55 expected goals scored and 1.62 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 80% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Bournemouth fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Bournemouth sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.55 expected goals a game and conceding 1.62. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Bournemouth have been correct 80% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 3D 0L
Real goals
1.4 – 1.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Bournemouth compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.55
Above average
Goals against
1.62
Leakier than most
Scored1.55
Conceded1.62

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.46 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.62 xG per match · +0.16 vs league average of 1.46.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Bournemouth fixtures (4/5).

📊 Bournemouth in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.5
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
🏠 1.5✈️ 1.5
5.6
Corners · per game
give up 5.3
🏠 6.0✈️ 5.2
13.8
Shots · per game
faced 12.6
🏠 14.5✈️ 13.1
4.7
On target · per game
faced 4.3
🏠 4.5✈️ 4.8
🗓️ Last 6 games
24 May
1-1
@ Nott'm Forest
🚩 3-6
19 May
1-1
vs Manchester City
🚩 7-6
09 May
1-0
@ Fulham
🚩 2-11
03 May
3-0
vs Crystal Palace
🚩 7-1
22 Apr
2-2
vs Leeds
🚩 12-1
18 Apr
2-1
@ Newcastle
🚩 3-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Bournemouth matches
80%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Bournemouth fixture, it is right 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

FPL assets at this club (2026/27 projections)

TruffertTruffertDEF · £5.5m · 4.9% owned3.1 pts
PetrovićPetrovićGKP · £4.5m · 3.7% owned2.9 pts
HillHillDEF · £5.5m · 1.2% owned2.8 pts
EvanilsonEvanilsonFWD · £6.0m · 2.1% owned2.7 pts
ScottScottMID · £6.0m · 1.6% owned2.7 pts
Next 5:MCI (A)EVE (H)NEW (A)BRE (H)LIV (H)

Full predicted points table → · Fixture difficulty matrix →

Bournemouth prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly